FutureSearch on real markets
Not investment advice. Forecasts and research are for informational purposes only.
Trading results
Kalshi portfolio+35.4%
as of Jun 10, 2026, 19:13 UTCPaper trading Apr 3 to June 9, 2026 · real money since June 10, 2026
paper portfolio (simulated)real account
Paper portfolio
Resolved markets
3618 won · 16 lost · 2 voided · 52.9% win rate
Realized P&L
+$21,487on $60,926 staked
Mark-to-market return
+35.4%+424.4% annualized
Real account · first trades Jun 10 · no markets resolved yet
Balance
$97,885
Unrealized P&L
-2.1%
Cash
$67,600
The paper portfolio starts from a $100,000 bankroll and marks every open position to the latest market price; the resolved figures above come from it. The real account runs the same strategy with real money and is much younger: none of its markets has resolved, so its P&L is unrealized mark-to-market (including fees and spread paid at entry), not a settled result. At this sample size returns are outlier-driven: the single biggest win accounts for 41% of realized paper profit.
Polymarket paper portfolio+17.4%
as of Jun 9, 2026, 13:44 UTCSimulated trades, Apr 24 to June 9, 2026
Resolved markets
1913 won · 6 lost · 68.4% win rate
Realized P&L
+$19,421on $47,395 staked
Mark-to-market return
+17.4%+260.8% annualized
Starts from a $100,000 bankroll and marks every open position to the latest market price.
S&P 500 long–short+26.6%
as of May 19, 2026, 00:00 UTCForecast Aug 5, 2025 · publicly sold as Stockfisher Aug 8 – Sep 2, 2025
net (long − short)longshort
| Net | Long | Short | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total return % | 26.6% | 31.1% | -4.5% | 16.9% |
| CAGR % | 35.2% | 41.4% | -5.7% | 22.1% |
| Ann. volatility % | 8.5% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 14.3% |
| Sharpe (rf=0%) | 3.08 | 2.02 | -0.34 | 1.35 |
| Max drawdown % | -4.3% | -7.6% | -9.8% | -8.9% |
| Beta vs S&P 500 | 0.26 | 0.66 | -0.52 | 1.00 |
| Alpha (ann.) % | 21.2% | 17.6% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| % positive months | 89% | 67% | 44% | 78% |
Industry-neutral, dollar-neutral paper portfolio built from FutureSearch's August 5, 2025 forecasts of each S&P 500 company's revenue, margin, and shareholder payout through 2035: long the most undervalued name and short the bottom half within each GICS industry (51 long bets, 231 short bets). Both baskets plotted as underlying returns; net = long − short. No commissions, borrow cost, or dividends. Read more on our methodology: can AI forecast stocks through fundamental analysis?, calculating intrinsic value from scratch, and a superforecasting approach to stock fundamentals. Not investment advice.
Our forecasts and trades
Prediction Market Positions
131 of 131 positions · edge = gap between our P(yes) and the market's
YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...: Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
openShares46,497
Avg paid8¢
Last7¢
Unrealized−$623
Value$3,022
fs 88%mkt 7%
NO
Venezuela leader end of 2026: Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
openShares11,799
Avg paid31¢
Last26¢
Unrealized−$602
Value$3,044
fs 25%mkt 74%
NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
openShares12,187
Avg paid41¢
Last30¢
Unrealized−$1,426
Value$3,626
fs 40%mkt 70%
NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
wonShares4,918
Entry price61¢
Proceeds$4,918
Realized P&L+$1,895
OutcomeNO
fs 10%mkt 39%
NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...: US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
openShares11,395
Avg paid32¢
Last32¢
Unrealized−$57
Value$3,589
fs 42%mkt 69%
NO
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before June 1, 2026: Before Jun 1, 2026
wonShares6,172
Entry price73¢
Proceeds$6,172
Realized P&L+$1,663
OutcomeNO
fs 1%mkt 27%
NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
wonShares6,086
Entry price66¢
Proceeds$6,086
Realized P&L+$2,086
OutcomeNO
fs 10%mkt 34%
NO
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026: Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
openShares10,129
Avg paid36¢
Last36¢
Unrealized−$41
Value$3,606
fs 42%mkt 64%
YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
lostShares5,385
Entry price74¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$4,000
OutcomeNO
fs 96%mkt 74%
NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...: US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
openShares5,379
Avg paid68¢
Last67¢
Unrealized−$69
Value$3,577
fs 12%mkt 34%
NO
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...: Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
lostShares5,723
Entry price70¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$4,000
OutcomeYES
fs 10%mkt 30%
YES
When will Pam Bondi depart as Attorney General: Before Apr 16, 2026
wonShares5,499
Entry price74¢
Proceeds$5,499
Realized P&L+$1,420
OutcomeYES
fs 93%mkt 73%
NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
wonShares6,346
Entry price63¢
Proceeds$6,346
Realized P&L+$2,346
OutcomeNO
fs 18%mkt 37%
NO
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year: Before June
wonShares5,099
Entry price79¢
Proceeds$5,099
Realized P&L+$1,048
OutcomeNO
fs 3%mkt 21%
NO
Brazil Presidential Election: Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
openShares4,394
Avg paid83¢
Last83¢
Unrealized−$15
Value$3,632
fs 1%mkt 17%
YES
Will DHS funding bill become law before May 1, 2026?
wonShares96
Entry price69¢
Proceeds$96
Realized P&L+$30
OutcomeYES
fs 37%mkt 53%
NO
Netanyahu out by...: Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
openShares5,504
Avg paid54¢
Last50¢
Unrealized−$244
Value$2,752
fs 34%mkt 50%
NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
openShares8,510
Avg paid47¢
Last80¢
Unrealized+$2,766
Value$6,765
fs 5%mkt 20%
NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
openShares4,793
Avg paid83¢
Last82¢
Unrealized−$67
Value$3,933
fs 3%mkt 18%
NO
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-06-01T14:00:00.000Z: Before June 1, 2026
wonShares5,993
Entry price83¢
Proceeds$5,993
Realized P&L+$994
OutcomeNO
fs 2%mkt 17%
NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...: US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
openShares4,414
Avg paid83¢
Last82¢
Unrealized−$48
Value$3,597
fs 4%mkt 19%
YES
When will Pam Bondi depart as Attorney General: Before May 1, 2026
wonShares4,798
Entry price85¢
Proceeds$4,798
Realized P&L+$720
OutcomeYES
fs 99%mkt 85%
NO
Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Jun 1, 2026: Before June
wonShares27
Entry price86¢
Proceeds$27
Realized P&L+$4
OutcomeNO
fs 0%mkt 14%
NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
wonShares101
Entry price54¢
Proceeds$101
Realized P&L+$46
OutcomeNO
fs 32%mkt 46%
NO
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
openShares3,803
Avg paid89¢
Last83¢
Unrealized−$230
Value$3,162
fs 3%mkt 17%
NO
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June: Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
openShares34
Avg paid52¢
Last43¢
Unrealized−$3
Value$14
fs 44%mkt 57%
NO
Will a new nuclear reactor be approved by Dec 31, 2026: Grants license
openShares1,238
Avg paid82¢
Last85¢
Unrealized+$30
Value$1,050
fs 2%mkt 15%
NO
Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Anthropic?
openShares790
Avg paid71¢
Last67¢
Unrealized−$32
Value$530
fs 20%mkt 33%
NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
openShares7,414
Avg paid54¢
Last76¢
Unrealized+$1,598
Value$5,598
fs 12%mkt 25%
NO
Will Abdul El-Sayed be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Michigan?
openShares3,663
Avg paid32¢
Last30¢
Unrealized−$73
Value$1,099
fs 58%mkt 70%
YES
Venezuela leader end of 2026: Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
openShares10,930
Avg paid19¢
Last13¢
Unrealized−$689
Value$1,366
fs 24%mkt 13%
NO
When will DHS receive full-year funding: Before Apr 1, 2026
wonShares3,379
Entry price70¢
Proceeds$3,379
Realized P&L+$1,010
OutcomeNO
fs 21%mkt 32%
NO
When will DHS be funded again: Before Apr 22, 2026
wonShares4,786
Entry price70¢
Proceeds$4,786
Realized P&L+$1,445
OutcomeNO
fs 21%mkt 32%
NO
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before May 1, 2026?
wonShares3,825
Entry price81¢
Proceeds$3,825
Realized P&L+$734
OutcomeNO
fs 8%mkt 19%
NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
wonShares114
Entry price83¢
Proceeds$114
Realized P&L+$19
OutcomeNO
fs 6%mkt 17%
NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...: Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
openShares5,680
Avg paid64¢
Last62¢
Unrealized−$124
Value$3,522
fs 27%mkt 38%
YES
Gas prices in the US in Mar 2026: Above 4.50
lostShares7,144
Entry price13¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$903
OutcomeNO
fs 20%mkt 10%
NO
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before May 15, 2026?
wonShares4,856
Entry price85¢
Proceeds$4,856
Realized P&L+$736
OutcomeNO
fs 5%mkt 15%
NO
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
openShares5,483
Avg paid73¢
Last71¢
Unrealized−$106
Value$3,893
fs 19%mkt 29%
NO
Will legislation that would temporarily suspend or reduce the federal excise tax on gasoline become law before Jan 1, 2027?
openShares4,400
Avg paid67¢
Last67¢
Unrealized−$22
Value$2,948
fs 23%mkt 33%
NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
openShares4,191
Avg paid87¢
Last87¢
Unrealized−$21
Value$3,625
fs 4%mkt 14%
NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
openShares413
Avg paid85¢
Last89¢
Unrealized+$16
Value$366
fs 2%mkt 12%
NO
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Alabama?
openShares7,447
Avg paid25¢
Last22¢
Unrealized−$223
Value$1,638
fs 69%mkt 78%
YES
Above 10 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026
openShares1,183
Avg paid14¢
Last13¢
Unrealized−$14
Value$154
fs 4%mkt 13%
NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
lostShares2,882
Entry price74¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$2,133
OutcomeYES
fs 17%mkt 26%
NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...: US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
wonShares4,194
Entry price67¢
Proceeds$4,194
Realized P&L+$1,387
OutcomeNO
fs 25%mkt 33%
NO
Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen before 2027?
openShares525
Avg paid82¢
Last79¢
Unrealized−$16
Value$415
fs 13%mkt 21%
NO
Will El Niño conditions be declared present before Jul 1, 2026?
openShares398
Avg paid35¢
Last35¢
Unrealized+$0
Value$139
fs 73%mkt 65%
NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...: Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
openShares4,607
Avg paid73¢
Last76¢
Unrealized+$179
Value$3,520
fs 16%mkt 24%
NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
openShares4,678
Avg paid60¢
Last90¢
Unrealized+$1,380
Value$4,187
fs 3%mkt 10%
NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
openShares20,564
Avg paid22¢
Last18¢
Unrealized−$1,014
Value$3,599
fs 75%mkt 83%
NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...: Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
openShares6,519
Avg paid56¢
Last55¢
Unrealized−$78
Value$3,553
fs 38%mkt 45%
NO
When will DHS be funded again: Before Apr 1, 2026
wonShares7,653
Entry price48¢
Proceeds$7,653
Realized P&L+$4,001
OutcomeNO
fs 28%mkt 36%
NO
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q1 2026: Above 2.0%
wonShares8,504
Entry price40¢
Proceeds$8,504
Realized P&L+$5,101
OutcomeNO
fs 45%mkt 52%
NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...: U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
lostShares5,010
Entry price80¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$4,000
OutcomeYES
fs 13%mkt 20%
NO
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $135.01 by Dec 31, 2026: $135.01 or above
openShares109
Avg paid70¢
Last65¢
Unrealized−$5
Value$71
fs 28%mkt 35%
NO
Fed Decision in July: Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
openShares45,058
Avg paid8¢
Last8¢
Unrealized−$266
Value$3,379
fs 86%mkt 93%
NO
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026: Above 13
openShares800
Avg paid35¢
Last19¢
Unrealized−$128
Value$152
fs 75%mkt 81%
NO
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026: Oklo
openShares338
Avg paid61¢
Last63¢
Unrealized+$7
Value$213
fs 31%mkt 37%
YES
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.50: Above 4.50
lostShares155
Entry price16¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$25
OutcomeNO
fs 18%mkt 12%
YES
How long will the government shutdown last: At least 90 days
lostShares1,454
Entry price66¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$966
OutcomeNO
fs 35%mkt 29%
NO
Will Dem Nominee be Graham Platner AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan 2027: Graham Platner wins
openShares7,000
Avg paid44¢
Last39¢
Unrealized−$330
Value$2,730
fs 55%mkt 61%
YES
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election: Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
openShares6,450
Avg paid57¢
Last55¢
Unrealized−$99
Value$3,548
fs 61%mkt 55%
NO
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...: Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
wonShares1,054
Entry price66¢
Proceeds$1,054
Realized P&L+$355
OutcomeNO
fs 28%mkt 34%
NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
wonShares4,520
Entry price88¢
Proceeds$4,520
Realized P&L+$520
OutcomeNO
fs 6%mkt 12%
NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
openShares4,067
Avg paid88¢
Last89¢
Unrealized+$40
Value$3,599
fs 6%mkt 12%
NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
openShares5,128
Avg paid78¢
Last80¢
Unrealized+$77
Value$4,077
fs 15%mkt 20%
NO
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in March 2026?
lostShares103
Entry price19¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$19
OutcomeYES
fs 80%mkt 86%
NO
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal before August?
openShares2,719
Avg paid83¢
Last82¢
Unrealized−$27
Value$2,229
fs 13%mkt 18%
NO
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026: Above 12
openShares887
Avg paid17¢
Last9¢
Unrealized−$71
Value$80
fs 86%mkt 91%
NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
wonShares446
Entry price71¢
Proceeds$446
Realized P&L+$129
OutcomeNO
fs 24%mkt 29%
NO
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before August 1, 2026: Before Aug 1, 2026
openShares2,994
Avg paid80¢
Last80¢
Unrealized+$0
Value$2,395
fs 15%mkt 20%
NO
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
openShares2,554
Avg paid93¢
Last92¢
Unrealized−$37
Value$2,350
fs 3%mkt 8%
NO
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 96.99 USD/Bbl on June 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT: above $96.99
openShares809
Avg paid68¢
Last55¢
Unrealized−$105
Value$445
fs 40%mkt 45%
NO
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 90.99 USD/Bbl on June 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT: above $90.99
openShares624
Avg paid47¢
Last46¢
Unrealized−$6
Value$287
fs 59%mkt 54%
NO
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate: Before Jun 14, 2026
lostShares2,319
Entry price43¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$999
OutcomeYES
fs 52%mkt 57%
NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...: Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
lostShares10,772
Entry price37¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$4,000
OutcomeYES
fs 58%mkt 63%
NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
openShares11,245
Avg paid35¢
Last9¢
Unrealized−$2,980
Value$956
fs 87%mkt 92%
NO
Israel closes its airspace by...: Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
openShares1,384
Avg paid76¢
Last75¢
Unrealized−$20
Value$1,031
fs 21%mkt 26%
YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...: US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
openShares2,675
Avg paid46¢
Last46¢
Unrealized−$22
Value$1,217
fs 50%mkt 46%
NO
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before December 1, 2026: Before Dec 1, 2026
openShares5,337
Avg paid47¢
Last43¢
Unrealized−$213
Value$2,295
fs 53%mkt 57%
NO
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic nominee for NY-13?
openShares1,497
Avg paid51¢
Last48¢
Unrealized−$43
Value$719
fs 48%mkt 52%
NO
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year: Before September
openShares993
Avg paid79¢
Last77¢
Unrealized−$20
Value$765
fs 19%mkt 23%
NO
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.30: Above 4.30
wonShares49
Entry price59¢
Proceeds$49
Realized P&L+$20
OutcomeNO
fs 38%mkt 42%
NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
openShares4,458
Avg paid63¢
Last93¢
Unrealized+$1,339
Value$4,146
fs 3%mkt 7%
NO
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting: Fed maintains rate
openShares19,898
Avg paid10¢
Last7¢
Unrealized−$597
Value$1,393
fs 89%mkt 93%
YES
Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026: 330000 or more
wonShares806
Entry price53¢
Proceeds$806
Realized P&L+$379
OutcomeYES
fs 57%mkt 53%
NO
Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
openShares159
Avg paid77¢
Last84¢
Unrealized+$12
Value$134
fs 12%mkt 16%
YES
Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June: Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
openShares33
Avg paid36¢
Last35¢
Unrealized−$0
Value$11
fs 38%mkt 35%
NO
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...: Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
openShares3,467
Avg paid46¢
Last45¢
Unrealized−$51
Value$1,543
fs 52%mkt 55%
NO
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before September 1, 2026: Before Sep 1, 2026
openShares2,069
Avg paid68¢
Last69¢
Unrealized+$21
Value$1,428
fs 28%mkt 31%
NO
Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Aug 1, 2026: Before August
openShares160
Avg paid85¢
Last83¢
Unrealized−$3
Value$133
fs 14%mkt 17%
NO
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
wonShares29,566
Entry price10¢
Proceeds$29,566
Realized P&L+$26,609
OutcomeNO
fs 87%mkt 90%
NO
Kristi Noem out as DHS Secretary: Before May 1, 2026
lostShares147,690
Entry price1¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$1,477
OutcomeYES
fs 25%mkt 22%
NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
wonShares4,444
Entry price90¢
Proceeds$4,444
Realized P&L+$444
OutcomeNO
fs 7%mkt 10%
YES
Fed Decision in July: Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
openShares20,231
Avg paid6¢
Last5¢
Unrealized−$208
Value$1,042
fs 8%mkt 5%
YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
wonShares3,884
Entry price58¢
Proceeds$3,884
Realized P&L+$1,623
OutcomeYES
fs 61%mkt 58%
NO
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen: Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
openShares391
Avg paid81¢
Last81¢
Unrealized−$0
Value$318
fs 16%mkt 19%
NO
Colombia Presidential Election: Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
openShares23,062
Avg paid23¢
Last16¢
Unrealized−$1,741
Value$3,575
fs 82%mkt 85%
YES
Colombia Presidential Election: Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
openShares22,046
Avg paid17¢
Last16¢
Unrealized−$229
Value$3,417
fs 18%mkt 16%
YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
openShares11,405
Avg paid35¢
Last8¢
Unrealized−$2,989
Value$947
fs 6%mkt 8%
NO
Will Trump's birthright citizenship order come into effect: Before August 2026
openShares1,302
Avg paid94¢
Last94¢
Unrealized−$4
Value$1,220
fs 4%mkt 6%
NO
Will the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 Virginia redistricting amendment be between 3% and 6%: Yes, 3-6%
wonShares9,260
Entry price6¢
Proceeds$9,260
Realized P&L+$8,726
OutcomeNO
fs 92%mkt 94%
NO
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 92.99 USD/Bbl on June 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT: above $92.99
openShares1,354
Avg paid56¢
Last46¢
Unrealized−$135
Value$623
fs 52%mkt 54%
NO
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 74.99 USD/Bbl on June 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT: above $74.99
openShares242
Avg paid6¢
Last7¢
Unrealized+$2
Value$17
fs 95%mkt 93%
NO
Gas prices in the US in Mar 2026: Above 3.50
lostShares13,342
Entry price2¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$320
OutcomeYES
fs 97%mkt 99%
NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...: Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
lostShares591
Entry price62¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$366
OutcomeYES
fs 36%mkt 38%
NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
wonShares1,143
Entry price60¢
Proceeds$1,143
Realized P&L+$457
OutcomeNO
fs 38%mkt 40%
NO
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate: Before Jul 1, 2026
lostShares2,867
Entry price24¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$690
OutcomeYES
fs 74%mkt 76%
YES
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell this year: 1 to 5
lostShares15,021
Entry price11¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$1,615
OutcomeNO
fs 8%mkt 6%
NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
openShares4,551
Avg paid63¢
Last61¢
Unrealized−$125
Value$2,754
fs 38%mkt 40%
NO
Largest Company end of June: Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
openShares85
Avg paid7¢
Last7¢
Unrealized−$0
Value$6
fs 92%mkt 94%
NO
GA-14 special election winner: Clayton Fuller
lostShares15,195
Entry price5¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$760
OutcomeYES
fs 94%mkt 96%
NO
When will DHS be funded again: Before Jun 1, 2026
lostShares644
Entry price32¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$206
OutcomeYES
fs 67%mkt 69%
YES
Will legislation that, upon becoming law, results in the Department of Homeland Security being funded at 12:01 AM ET the calendar day after enactment become law before Apr 15, 2026?
lostShares330
Entry price9¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$31
OutcomeNO
fs 6%mkt 5%
YES
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026: Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
openShares290
Avg paid4¢
Last4¢
Unrealized−$1
Value$11
fs 5%mkt 4%
NO
Will Toby Doeden be the Republican nominee for Governor in South Dakota?
openShares6,000
Avg paid51¢
Last47¢
Unrealized−$240
Value$2,820
fs 52%mkt 53%
NO
Supergirl Rotten Tomatoes score: Above 70
openShares1,250
Avg paid31¢
Last29¢
Unrealized−$25
Value$363
fs 70%mkt 71%
NO
Will Mike Mazzei be the Republican nominee for Governor in Oklahoma?
openShares1,103
Avg paid21¢
Last20¢
Unrealized−$11
Value$221
fs 79%mkt 80%
NO
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 76.99 USD/Bbl on June 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT: above $76.99
openShares1,219
Avg paid11¢
Last8¢
Unrealized−$37
Value$98
fs 93%mkt 92%
YES
Powell leaves before May 2026?
lostShares1,396
Entry price4¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$56
OutcomeNO
fs 3%mkt 3%
NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...: Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
openShares106
Avg paid74¢
Last96¢
Unrealized+$23
Value$101
fs 5%mkt 5%
NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
openShares11
Avg paid85¢
Last98¢
Unrealized+$1
Value$11
fs 2%mkt 2%
NO
Will Trump’s first officially announced pick for Chairman of the Federal Reserve be confirmed as Chairman of the Federal Reserve before May 15, 2026?
lostShares16,170
Entry price5¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$775
OutcomeYES
fs 95%mkt 95%
NO
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
openShares1,751
Avg paid95¢
Last99¢
Unrealized+$67
Value$1,730
fs 1%mkt 1%
NO
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2026: Before Jul 1, 2026
openShares1,326
Avg paid94¢
Last96¢
Unrealized+$25
Value$1,271
fs 4%mkt 4%
YES
Will the United States have at least 4,700 data centers listed in 2026?
openShares520
Avg paid59¢
Last67¢
Unrealized+$43
Value$348
fs 67%mkt 67%
NO
Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026: Pam Bondi
lostShares381
Entry price50¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$190
OutcomeYES
fs 99%mkt 99%
YES
Will any individual in connection with the Minnesota daycare fraud investigations be charged with a fraud, theft, embezzlement, bribery, money laundering, or conspiracy crime before Sep 1, 2026?
wonShares2,066
Entry price52¢
Proceeds$2,066
Realized P&L+$999
OutcomeYES
View market ↗resolved May 27
NO
Texas Republican Senate nominee: John Cornyn
wonShares2,231
Entry price28¢
Proceeds$2,231
Realized P&L+$1,617
OutcomeNO
View market ↗resolved May 27
YES
KY-04 Republican nominee: Thomas Massie
lostShares337
Entry price38¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$128
OutcomeNO
View market ↗resolved May 27
Stock Forecasts & Positions
477 of 477 companies · upside = FS valuation vs market cap
| Company | Ticker | Bet | Industry | Market cap | FS valuation, Aug 5 2025 | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle Corporation | ALB | long | Specialty Chemicals | $7.9B | $61.9B | +682% |
| Centene Corporation | CNC | long | Healthcare Plans | $12.4B | $93.6B | +656% |
| Molina Healthcare | MOH | middle | Healthcare Plans | $8.3B | $51.2B | +520% |
| Interpublic Group of Companies (The) | IPG | long | Advertising Agencies | $9.1B | $53.4B | +490% |
| Moderna | MRNA | long | Biotechnology | $10.4B | $45.3B | +335% |
| General Motors | GM | long | Auto Manufacturers | $50.7B | $218B | +330% |
| Northern Trust | NTRS | long | Asset Management | $24.5B | $92.5B | +277% |
| Supermicro | SMCI | long | Computer Hardware | $27.9B | $105B | +277% |
| Align Technology | ALGN | long | Medical Instruments & Supplies | $9.9B | $37.4B | +277% |
| Ford Motor Company | F | short | Auto Manufacturers | $44.6B | $167B | +275% |
| Omnicom Group | OMC | short | Advertising Agencies | $14.1B | $49.0B | +247% |
| Aptiv | APTV | long | Auto Parts | $14.2B | $49.0B | +246% |
| Bunge Global | BG | long | Farm Products | $16.2B | $56.0B | +246% |
| UnitedHealth Group | UNH | middle | Healthcare Plans | $234B | $787B | +236% |
| Enphase Energy | ENPH | long | Solar | $4.1B | $13.4B | +231% |
| PayPal | PYPL | long | Credit Services | $66.3B | $217B | +227% |
| Paramount Global | PARA | long | Entertainment | $7.0B | $22.6B | +223% |
| MGM Resorts | MGM | long | Resorts & Casinos | $9.6B | $30.1B | +215% |
| AES Corporation | AES | long | Utilities - Diversified | $9.1B | $28.7B | +214% |
| Synchrony Financial | SYF | middle | Credit Services | $25.8B | $81.0B | +213% |
| LyondellBasell | LYB | middle | Specialty Chemicals | $15.9B | $49.6B | +211% |
| Eastman Chemical Company | EMN | middle | Specialty Chemicals | $7.0B | $21.7B | +211% |
| Arch Capital Group | ACGL | long | Insurance - Diversified | $33.7B | $104B | +209% |
| APA Corporation | APA | long | Oil & Gas E&P | $6.5B | $18.9B | +190% |
| Cardinal Health | CAH | long | Medical Distribution | $37.4B | $108B | +189% |
| Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings | NCLH | long | Travel Services | $11.2B | $32.3B | +188% |
| Fifth Third Bancorp | FITB | long | Banks - Regional | $27.5B | $79.4B | +188% |
| Humana | HUM | short | Healthcare Plans | $31.2B | $88.4B | +184% |
| CVS Health | CVS | short | Healthcare Plans | $80.6B | $227B | +182% |
| Elevance Health | ELV | short | Healthcare Plans | $64.1B | $178B | +177% |
| CF Industries | CF | long | Agricultural Inputs | $14.8B | $38.5B | +161% |
| Apollo Global Management | APO | middle | Asset Management | $83.4B | $216B | +159% |
| Caesars Entertainment | CZR | middle | Resorts & Casinos | $5.2B | $13.4B | +159% |
| Universal Health Services | UHS | long | Medical Care Facilities | $10.5B | $26.5B | +152% |
| M&T Bank | MTB | middle | Banks - Regional | $29.0B | $72.4B | +150% |
| Airbnb | ABNB | middle | Travel Services | $80.5B | $200B | +148% |
| Lamb Weston | LW | long | Packaged Foods | $7.2B | $17.8B | +148% |
| Baxter International | BAX | middle | Medical Instruments & Supplies | $11.5B | $28.6B | +147% |
| Akamai Technologies | AKAM | long | Software - Infrastructure | $10.6B | $26.2B | +147% |
| Principal Financial Group | PFG | middle | Asset Management | $17.1B | $42.3B | +147% |
| United Parcel Service | UPS | long | Integrated Freight & Logistics | $73.0B | $180B | +146% |
| Global Payments | GPN | long | Specialty Business Services | $20.9B | $51.1B | +145% |
| Devon Energy | DVN | middle | Oil & Gas E&P | $20.8B | $50.1B | +141% |
| Comcast | CMCSA | long | Telecom Services | $119B | $275B | +131% |
| Huntington Bancshares | HBAN | middle | Banks - Regional | $23.5B | $53.7B | +129% |
| Cigna | CI | short | Healthcare Plans | $72.1B | $160B | +122% |
| PulteGroup | PHM | long | Residential Construction | $23.7B | $52.3B | +120% |
| Southwest Airlines | LUV | long | Airlines | $15.6B | $34.4B | +120% |
| Lennar | LEN | middle | Residential Construction | $30.8B | $67.3B | +119% |
| Solventum | SOLV | middle | Medical Instruments & Supplies | $12.6B | $27.0B | +115% |
| ON Semiconductor | ON | long | Semiconductors | $19.2B | $41.2B | +114% |
| EOG Resources | EOG | middle | Oil & Gas E&P | $63.6B | $136B | +114% |
| Lululemon Athletica | LULU | long | Apparel Retail | $23.6B | $49.7B | +111% |
| Diamondback Energy | FANG | middle | Oil & Gas E&P | $42.0B | $88.4B | +110% |
| Mosaic Company (The) | MOS | short | Agricultural Inputs | $9.8B | $20.5B | +109% |
| Chubb Limited | CB | long | Insurance - Property & Casualty | $107B | $225B | +109% |
| Delta Air Lines | DAL | short | Airlines | $35.3B | $73.4B | +108% |
| Travelers Companies (The) | TRV | middle | Insurance - Property & Casualty | $60.2B | $125B | +107% |
| T. Rowe Price | TROW | middle | Asset Management | $23.2B | $48.0B | +107% |
| Smurfit Westrock | SW | long | Packaging & Containers | $22.3B | $46.1B | +107% |
| Molson Coors Beverage Company | TAP | long | Beverages - Brewers | $9.9B | $20.5B | +106% |
| Carnival | CCL | middle | Travel Services | $39.6B | $81.4B | +105% |
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | REGN | middle | Biotechnology | $58.8B | $120B | +104% |
| Archer Daniels Midland | ADM | short | Farm Products | $27.3B | $55.4B | +103% |
| Micron Technology | MU | middle | Semiconductors | $122B | $247B | +103% |
| MetLife | MET | long | Insurance - Life | $51.0B | $103B | +102% |
| Charter Communications | CHTR | middle | Telecom Services | $35.8B | $72.2B | +102% |
| Sempra | SRE | short | Utilities - Diversified | $52.9B | $105B | +99% |
| LKQ Corporation | LKQ | middle | Auto Parts | $7.7B | $15.2B | +98% |
| Stanley Black & Decker | SWK | long | Tools & Accessories | $10.6B | $20.6B | +95% |
| Cognizant | CTSH | long | Information Technology Services | $34.6B | $67.3B | +94% |
| Regions Financial Corporation | RF | middle | Banks - Regional | $22.3B | $42.9B | +92% |
| FedEx | FDX | middle | Integrated Freight & Logistics | $53.4B | $103B | +92% |
| PNC Financial Services | PNC | middle | Banks - Regional | $74.3B | $141B | +90% |
| Fiserv | FI | middle | Information Technology Services | $71.5B | $135B | +89% |
| EPAM Systems | EPAM | middle | Information Technology Services | $8.6B | $16.2B | +89% |
| Western Digital | WDC | middle | Computer Hardware | $25.7B | $48.3B | +88% |
| Globe Life | GL | middle | Insurance - Life | $11.7B | $21.8B | +87% |
| Ameriprise Financial | AMP | middle | Asset Management | $49.6B | $92.6B | +87% |
| Raymond James Financial | RJF | middle | Asset Management | $34.2B | $63.2B | +85% |
| HP Inc. | HPQ | middle | Computer Hardware | $23.5B | $43.1B | +84% |
| Allstate | ALL | middle | Insurance - Property & Casualty | $55.1B | $101B | +83% |
| Applied Materials | AMAT | long | Semiconductor Equipment & Materials | $143B | $261B | +83% |
| Qualcomm | QCOM | middle | Semiconductors | $157B | $287B | +83% |
| Conagra Brands | CAG | middle | Packaged Foods | $9.0B | $16.4B | +81% |
| Deckers Brands | DECK | long | Footwear & Accessories | $15.7B | $28.2B | +80% |
| Hewlett Packard Enterprise | HPE | long | Communication Equipment | $26.4B | $47.1B | +78% |
| Skyworks Solutions | SWKS | middle | Semiconductors | $10.1B | $18.0B | +77% |
| DaVita | DVA | short | Medical Care Facilities | $9.8B | $17.2B | +75% |
| Nucor | NUE | long | Steel | $32.0B | $55.7B | +74% |
| HCA Healthcare | HCA | short | Medical Care Facilities | $85.7B | $149B | +74% |
| Prudential Financial | PRU | short | Insurance - Life | $36.6B | $63.8B | +74% |
| TKO Group Holdings | TKO | middle | Entertainment | $12.7B | $22.1B | +74% |
| Cincinnati Financial | CINF | middle | Insurance - Property & Casualty | $24.1B | $41.7B | +73% |
| Bristol Myers Squibb | BMY | long | Drug Manufacturers - General | $91.2B | $158B | +73% |
| Steel Dynamics | STLD | short | Steel | $18.1B | $31.1B | +71% |
| News Corp | NWS, NWSA | short | Entertainment | $35.0B | $10.1B | −71% |
| Gartner | IT | middle | Information Technology Services | $18.5B | $31.5B | +71% |
| Viatris | VTRS | long | Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic | $10.3B | $17.5B | +70% |
| State Street Corporation | STT | short | Asset Management | $31.4B | $52.7B | +68% |
| Match Group | MTCH | long | Internet Content & Information | $9.1B | $15.3B | +67% |
| Ventas | VTR | short | REIT - Healthcare Facilities | $31.1B | $10.5B | −66% |
| Occidental Petroleum | OXY | middle | Oil & Gas E&P | $41.9B | $69.4B | +66% |
| Cummins | CMI | long | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $52.6B | $86.9B | +65% |
| U.S. Bancorp | USB | short | Banks - Regional | $69.2B | $114B | +65% |
| D. R. Horton | DHI | short | Residential Construction | $45.9B | $75.5B | +64% |
| Assurant | AIZ | short | Insurance - Property & Casualty | $10.6B | $17.5B | +64% |
| Expedia Group | EXPE | short | Travel Services | $23.5B | $38.6B | +64% |
| GE Vernova | GEV | short | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $181B | $65.8B | −64% |
| Bio-Techne | TECH | middle | Biotechnology | $7.8B | $12.8B | +64% |
| Accenture | ACN | middle | Information Technology Services | $154B | $251B | +63% |
| American Express | AXP | middle | Credit Services | $206B | $334B | +62% |
| First Solar | FSLR | short | Solar | $19.8B | $32.2B | +62% |
| Target Corporation | TGT | long | Discount Stores | $47.9B | $77.0B | +61% |
| NVR, Inc. | NVR | short | Residential Construction | $21.9B | $35.1B | +60% |
| Halliburton | HAL | long | Oil & Gas Equipment & Services | $18.1B | $29.0B | +60% |
| UDR, Inc. | UDR | short | REIT - Residential | $14.5B | $5.8B | −60% |
| Invesco | IVZ | short | Asset Management | $9.4B | $15.0B | +60% |
| Wells Fargo | WFC | long | Banks - Diversified | $250B | $398B | +59% |
| Axon Enterprise | AXON | short | Aerospace & Defense | $67.8B | $27.6B | −59% |
| Live Nation Entertainment | LYV | short | Entertainment | $35.0B | $14.3B | −59% |
| Builders FirstSource | BLDR | long | Building Products & Equipment | $14.5B | $23.0B | +59% |
| Howmet Aerospace | HWM | short | Aerospace & Defense | $73.4B | $30.3B | −59% |
| Verizon | VZ | middle | Telecom Services | $179B | $283B | +59% |
| CDW Corporation | CDW | short | Information Technology Services | $21.8B | $34.5B | +58% |
| Incyte | INCY | short | Biotechnology | $15.2B | $6.4B | −58% |
| Tyler Technologies | TYL | short | Software - Application | $26.5B | $11.2B | −58% |
| Citizens Financial Group | CFG | short | Banks - Regional | $20.2B | $31.9B | +58% |
| Textron | TXT | long | Aerospace & Defense | $13.8B | $21.7B | +57% |
| Edison International | EIX | long | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $21.1B | $33.1B | +57% |
| Schlumberger | SLB | short | Oil & Gas Equipment & Services | $49.0B | $76.8B | +57% |
| General Mills | GIS | middle | Packaged Foods | $26.7B | $41.8B | +56% |
| Jacobs Solutions | J | long | Engineering & Construction | $17.7B | $27.3B | +54% |
| Biogen | BIIB | middle | Drug Manufacturers - General | $19.0B | $29.2B | +54% |
| Carrier Global | CARR | middle | Building Products & Equipment | $56.3B | $86.2B | +53% |
| CoStar Group | CSGP | short | Real Estate Services | $40.8B | $19.2B | −53% |
| Amcor | AMCR | middle | Packaging & Containers | $21.6B | $33.0B | +53% |
| Truist Financial | TFC | short | Banks - Regional | $55.5B | $84.7B | +53% |
| Pfizer | PFE | middle | Drug Manufacturers - General | $136B | $207B | +52% |
| Gen Digital | GEN | long | Software - Infrastructure | $17.7B | $26.8B | +52% |
| Campbell's Company (The) | CPB | middle | Packaged Foods | $9.7B | $14.8B | +52% |
| Welltower | WELL | short | REIT - Healthcare Facilities | $113B | $55.0B | −51% |
| Costco | COST | short | Discount Stores | $430B | $209B | −51% |
| Equinix | EQIX | short | REIT - Specialty | $75.6B | $37.3B | −51% |
| Palantir Technologies | PLTR | short | Software - Infrastructure | $426B | $210B | −51% |
| KeyCorp | KEY | short | Banks - Regional | $19.5B | $29.3B | +51% |
| Cencora | COR | middle | Medical Distribution | $55.0B | $82.6B | +50% |
| Tyson Foods | TSN | short | Farm Products | $19.9B | $29.9B | +50% |
| Charles River Laboratories | CRL | long | Diagnostics & Research | $7.4B | $11.0B | +49% |
| GE HealthCare | GEHC | long | Medical Devices | $31.9B | $47.5B | +49% |
| Nvidia | NVDA | short | Semiconductors | $4,408B | $2,285B | −48% |
| Intel | INTC | middle | Semiconductors | $89.3B | $132B | +48% |
| Crown Castle | CCI | short | REIT - Specialty | $45.8B | $23.9B | −48% |
| Avery Dennison | AVY | middle | Packaging & Containers | $13.1B | $19.3B | +48% |
| Teradyne | TER | middle | Semiconductor Equipment & Materials | $16.7B | $24.6B | +47% |
| W. R. Berkley Corporation | WRB | short | Insurance - Property & Casualty | $26.8B | $39.4B | +47% |
| Corpay | CPAY | middle | Software - Infrastructure | $22.2B | $32.7B | +47% |
| Walmart | WMT | short | Discount Stores | $825B | $438B | −47% |
| Quanta Services | PWR | short | Engineering & Construction | $57.7B | $30.9B | −47% |
| Lam Research | LRCX | short | Semiconductor Equipment & Materials | $122B | $178B | +46% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation | TPL | short | Oil & Gas E&P | $21.9B | $11.8B | −46% |
| Adobe Inc. | ADBE | long | Software - Application | $147B | $214B | +46% |
| Jabil | JBL | long | Electronic Components | $23.7B | $34.5B | +46% |
| Loews Corporation | L | short | Insurance - Property & Casualty | $19.5B | $28.4B | +45% |
| Dayforce | DAY | long | Software - Application | $8.5B | $12.4B | +45% |
| Amazon | AMZN | long | Internet Retail | $2,371B | $3,438B | +45% |
| Dell Technologies | DELL | short | Computer Hardware | $90.3B | $130B | +44% |
| Fair Isaac | FICO | short | Software - Application | $33.5B | $18.7B | −44% |
| Cadence Design Systems | CDNS | short | Software - Application | $100B | $57.7B | −42% |
| IQVIA | IQV | middle | Diagnostics & Research | $30.7B | $43.6B | +42% |
| Alexandria Real Estate Equities | ARE | long | REIT - Office | $12.6B | $17.9B | +42% |
| Lilly (Eli) | LLY | short | Drug Manufacturers - General | $670B | $391B | −42% |
| Edwards Lifesciences | EW | middle | Medical Devices | $46.1B | $65.3B | +42% |
| Zimmer Biomet | ZBH | middle | Medical Devices | $18.0B | $25.5B | +41% |
| NXP Semiconductors | NXPI | middle | Semiconductors | $51.9B | $73.4B | +41% |
| Idexx Laboratories | IDXX | short | Diagnostics & Research | $49.9B | $29.2B | −41% |
| Snap-on | SNA | short | Tools & Accessories | $16.9B | $23.8B | +41% |
| DoorDash | DASH | short | Internet Retail | $109B | $64.1B | −41% |
| Advanced Micro Devices | AMD | short | Semiconductors | $264B | $156B | −41% |
| Intuitive Surgical | ISRG | short | Medical Instruments & Supplies | $170B | $102B | −40% |
| Boeing | BA | short | Aerospace & Defense | $170B | $102B | −40% |
| American International Group | AIG | middle | Insurance - Diversified | $45.6B | $63.8B | +40% |
| Vulcan Materials Company | VMC | short | Building Materials | $37.2B | $22.4B | −40% |
| Paccar | PCAR | long | Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | $51.1B | $71.4B | +40% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery | WBD | middle | Entertainment | $31.6B | $44.1B | +39% |
| Wynn Resorts | WYNN | short | Resorts & Casinos | $11.2B | $15.6B | +39% |
| Marsh McLennan | MMC | long | Insurance Brokers | $98.2B | $137B | +39% |
| Fastenal | FAST | short | Industrial Distribution | $54.5B | $33.2B | −39% |
| Leidos | LDOS | short | Information Technology Services | $22.4B | $30.8B | +38% |
| American Electric Power | AEP | long | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $60.7B | $83.6B | +38% |
| United Airlines Holdings | UAL | short | Airlines | $28.8B | $39.5B | +37% |
| Alphabet Inc. | GOOGL | short | Internet Content & Information | $2,375B | $3,254B | +37% |
| Fox Corporation | FOXA, FOX | short | Entertainment | $46.5B | $29.5B | −37% |
| Berkshire Hathaway | BRK.B, BRK.A | short | Insurance - Diversified | $2,023B | $1,285B | −36% |
| Williams Companies | WMB | short | Oil & Gas Midstream | $71.6B | $45.9B | −36% |
| Constellation Energy | CEG | short | Utilities - Independent Power Producers | $106B | $68.1B | −36% |
| Boston Scientific | BSX | short | Medical Devices | $153B | $98.6B | −35% |
| Meta Platforms | META | short | Internet Content & Information | $1,939B | $2,624B | +35% |
| Oneok | OKE | long | Oil & Gas Midstream | $47.4B | $64.0B | +35% |
| Iron Mountain | IRM | short | REIT - Specialty | $26.6B | $17.3B | −35% |
| Coterra | CTRA | short | Oil & Gas E&P | $18.5B | $25.0B | +35% |
| Cintas | CTAS | short | Specialty Business Services | $90.4B | $59.3B | −34% |
| American Tower | AMT | short | REIT - Specialty | $97.8B | $64.6B | −34% |
| Garmin | GRMN | short | Scientific & Technical Instruments | $44.3B | $29.6B | −33% |
| O’Reilly Automotive | ORLY | short | Auto Parts | $88.7B | $59.4B | −33% |
| Verisk Analytics | VRSK | short | Consulting Services | $38.0B | $25.5B | −33% |
| Dollar General | DG | middle | Discount Stores | $24.9B | $33.0B | +32% |
| Progressive Corporation | PGR | short | Insurance - Property & Casualty | $145B | $192B | +32% |
| Palo Alto Networks | PANW | short | Software - Infrastructure | $115B | $78.4B | −32% |
| Union Pacific Corporation | UNP | long | Railroads | $134B | $176B | +32% |
| Blackstone Inc. | BX | short | Asset Management | $208B | $142B | −32% |
| Simon Property Group | SPG | short | REIT - Retail | $63.2B | $43.2B | −32% |
| Revvity | RVTY | middle | Diagnostics & Research | $10.1B | $13.3B | +31% |
| Moody's Corporation | MCO | short | Financial Data & Stock Exchanges | $95.5B | $65.5B | −31% |
| Dominion Energy | D | middle | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $52.0B | $68.4B | +31% |
| J.B. Hunt | JBHT | middle | Integrated Freight & Logistics | $13.9B | $18.2B | +31% |
| Hartford (The) | HIG | short | Insurance - Diversified | $36.2B | $47.5B | +31% |
| Corteva | CTVA | short | Agricultural Inputs | $48.6B | $33.4B | −31% |
| Monolithic Power Systems | MPWR | short | Semiconductors | $38.6B | $26.7B | −31% |
| A. O. Smith | AOS | long | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $9.9B | $13.0B | +31% |
| Becton Dickinson | BDX | middle | Medical Instruments & Supplies | $49.4B | $64.5B | +31% |
| Realty Income | O | short | REIT - Retail | $51.4B | $35.7B | −30% |
| Gilead Sciences | GILD | short | Drug Manufacturers - General | $137B | $95.8B | −30% |
| Dexcom | DXCM | middle | Medical Devices | $30.0B | $39.0B | +30% |
| Lowe's | LOW | long | Home Improvement Retail | $134B | $174B | +30% |
| Xylem Inc. | XYL | short | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $35.0B | $24.4B | −30% |
| Hilton Worldwide | HLT | short | Lodging | $61.4B | $43.0B | −30% |
| CrowdStrike | CRWD | short | Software - Infrastructure | $115B | $80.6B | −30% |
| Zoetis | ZTS | short | Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic | $65.2B | $84.6B | +30% |
| Stryker Corporation | SYK | short | Medical Devices | $143B | $101B | −30% |
| Intercontinental Exchange | ICE | short | Financial Data & Stock Exchanges | $108B | $75.8B | −30% |
| BXP, Inc. | BXP | short | REIT - Office | $11.7B | $8.3B | −29% |
| Equifax | EFX | long | Consulting Services | $29.6B | $21.1B | −29% |
| Amphenol | APH | short | Electronic Components | $134B | $95.1B | −29% |
| Mondelez International | MDLZ | long | Confectioners | $80.3B | $103B | +28% |
| TE Connectivity | TEL | middle | Electronic Components | $59.1B | $75.6B | +28% |
| Huntington Ingalls Industries | HII | middle | Aerospace & Defense | $10.8B | $13.8B | +27% |
| Seagate Technology | STX | short | Computer Hardware | $31.3B | $39.8B | +27% |
| Camden Property Trust | CPT | short | REIT - Residential | $11.4B | $8.3B | −27% |
| Deere & Company | DE | short | Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | $138B | $175B | +27% |
| PG&E Corporation | PCG | middle | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $33.3B | $42.1B | +27% |
| Bank of America | BAC | middle | Banks - Diversified | $336B | $425B | +26% |
| Thermo Fisher Scientific | TMO | middle | Diagnostics & Research | $170B | $214B | +26% |
| Otis Worldwide | OTIS | middle | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $34.1B | $42.9B | +26% |
| Capital One | COF | short | Credit Services | $136B | $171B | +26% |
| International Flavors & Fragrances | IFF | middle | Specialty Chemicals | $16.9B | $21.2B | +26% |
| Kimberly-Clark | KMB | long | Household & Personal Products | $45.3B | $56.9B | +26% |
| Lockheed Martin | LMT | middle | Aerospace & Defense | $102B | $127B | +25% |
| Texas Instruments | TXN | middle | Semiconductors | $169B | $211B | +25% |
| Digital Realty | DLR | middle | REIT - Specialty | $58.9B | $44.3B | −25% |
| Analog Devices | ADI | short | Semiconductors | $110B | $82.6B | −25% |
| NetApp | NTAP | middle | Software - Infrastructure | $20.7B | $25.7B | +24% |
| Intuit | INTU | short | Software - Application | $217B | $165B | −24% |
| Entergy | ETR | short | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $40.3B | $30.6B | −24% |
| Lennox International | LII | middle | Building Products & Equipment | $20.9B | $25.9B | +24% |
| GE Aerospace | GE | short | Aerospace & Defense | $289B | $220B | −24% |
| Nasdaq, Inc. | NDAQ | short | Financial Data & Stock Exchanges | $55.4B | $42.4B | −24% |
| Kraft Heinz | KHC | middle | Packaged Foods | $32.3B | $39.7B | +23% |
| Uber | UBER | middle | Software - Application | $187B | $229B | +23% |
| Arista Networks | ANET | short | Computer Hardware | $174B | $134B | −23% |
| Microchip Technology | MCHP | short | Semiconductors | $35.7B | $27.6B | −23% |
| Motorola Solutions | MSI | short | Communication Equipment | $73.8B | $57.0B | −23% |
| Verisign | VRSN | short | Software - Infrastructure | $25.5B | $19.7B | −23% |
| PTC Inc. | PTC | short | Software - Application | $25.8B | $20.0B | −23% |
| Teledyne Technologies | TDY | short | Scientific & Technical Instruments | $25.7B | $20.0B | −22% |
| 3M | MMM | short | Conglomerates | $80.3B | $62.5B | −22% |
| Quest Diagnostics | DGX | middle | Diagnostics & Research | $19.3B | $23.6B | +22% |
| Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | middle | Drug Manufacturers - General | $411B | $501B | +22% |
| Vistra Corp. | VST | short | Utilities - Independent Power Producers | $68.2B | $53.4B | −22% |
| Mid-America Apartment Communities | MAA | short | REIT - Residential | $16.9B | $13.2B | −22% |
| Block, Inc. | SQ | middle | Software - Infrastructure | $46.8B | $56.9B | +21% |
| Dollar Tree | DLTR | middle | Discount Stores | $24.3B | $19.1B | −21% |
| Packaging Corporation of America | PKG | short | Packaging & Containers | $17.3B | $20.9B | +21% |
| Ulta Beauty | ULTA | long | Specialty Retail | $23.2B | $28.1B | +21% |
| Valero Energy | VLO | long | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | $41.5B | $50.2B | +21% |
| Martin Marietta Materials | MLM | long | Building Materials | $36.1B | $28.5B | −21% |
| Take-Two Interactive | TTWO | short | Electronic Gaming & Multimedia | $41.9B | $33.2B | −21% |
| Trimble Inc. | TRMB | middle | Scientific & Technical Instruments | $20.1B | $15.9B | −21% |
| Marathon Petroleum | MPC | short | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | $49.4B | $59.6B | +21% |
| TransDigm Group | TDG | short | Aerospace & Defense | $78.7B | $62.5B | −21% |
| Fidelity National Information Services | FIS | short | Information Technology Services | $36.7B | $29.1B | −21% |
| RTX Corporation | RTX | short | Aerospace & Defense | $208B | $166B | −20% |
| Franklin Resources | BEN | short | Asset Management | $13.1B | $15.7B | +20% |
| Regency Centers | REG | middle | REIT - Retail | $13.4B | $10.7B | −20% |
| SBA Communications | SBAC | middle | REIT - Specialty | $23.6B | $18.9B | −20% |
| PepsiCo | PEP | long | Beverages - Non-Alcoholic | $193B | $232B | +20% |
| DuPont | DD | short | Specialty Chemicals | $29.6B | $23.8B | −20% |
| Nordson Corporation | NDSN | middle | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $11.9B | $14.3B | +20% |
| Broadridge Financial Solutions | BR | short | Information Technology Services | $31.3B | $25.2B | −20% |
| TJX Companies | TJX | short | Apparel Retail | $147B | $118B | −20% |
| Waste Management | WM | short | Waste Management | $93.3B | $75.0B | −20% |
| Ecolab | ECL | short | Specialty Chemicals | $76.4B | $61.5B | −19% |
| Republic Services | RSG | long | Waste Management | $73.5B | $59.3B | −19% |
| International Paper | IP | short | Packaging & Containers | $24.5B | $29.2B | +19% |
| Merck & Co. | MRK | middle | Drug Manufacturers - General | $199B | $238B | +19% |
| Willis Towers Watson | WTW | short | Insurance Brokers | $31.8B | $25.6B | −19% |
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals | VRTX | short | Biotechnology | $98.8B | $118B | +19% |
| Henry Schein | HSIC | short | Medical Distribution | $8.3B | $9.9B | +19% |
| NextEra Energy | NEE | middle | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $145B | $173B | +19% |
| Fortinet | FTNT | short | Software - Infrastructure | $73.9B | $59.9B | −19% |
| Electronic Arts | EA | long | Electronic Gaming & Multimedia | $40.8B | $33.1B | −19% |
| Visa Inc. | V | short | Credit Services | $659B | $783B | +19% |
| AT&T | T | short | Telecom Services | $197B | $233B | +19% |
| Paycom | PAYC | middle | Software - Application | $12.5B | $14.8B | +19% |
| CBRE Group | CBRE | long | Real Estate Services | $46.4B | $37.8B | −18% |
| NRG Energy | NRG | long | Utilities - Independent Power Producers | $29.0B | $34.4B | +18% |
| Kinder Morgan | KMI | short | Oil & Gas Midstream | $59.4B | $48.6B | −18% |
| Abbott Laboratories | ABT | short | Medical Devices | $228B | $187B | −18% |
| MSCI Inc. | MSCI | long | Financial Data & Stock Exchanges | $42.4B | $50.1B | +18% |
| AbbVie | ABBV | short | Drug Manufacturers - General | $347B | $284B | −18% |
| Chevron Corporation | CVX | short | Oil & Gas Integrated | $311B | $255B | −18% |
| Brown & Brown | BRO | middle | Insurance Brokers | $30.3B | $35.7B | +18% |
| PPG Industries | PPG | middle | Specialty Chemicals | $24.1B | $28.4B | +18% |
| Generac | GNRC | short | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $11.4B | $9.4B | −18% |
| Caterpillar Inc. | CAT | short | Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | $201B | $236B | +18% |
| Sherwin-Williams | SHW | short | Specialty Chemicals | $87.4B | $72.2B | −17% |
| Morgan Stanley | MS | long | Capital Markets | $226B | $264B | +17% |
| Agilent Technologies | A | short | Diagnostics & Research | $32.2B | $37.7B | +17% |
| Starbucks | SBUX | long | Restaurants | $101B | $118B | +17% |
| Workday, Inc. | WDAY | short | Software - Application | $63.0B | $52.4B | −17% |
| Honeywell | HON | long | Conglomerates | $139B | $163B | +17% |
| Cooper Companies (The) | COO | short | Medical Instruments & Supplies | $13.6B | $11.3B | −17% |
| Autodesk | ADSK | short | Software - Application | $65.3B | $54.4B | −17% |
| Pentair | PNR | short | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $16.8B | $14.0B | −17% |
| Trade Desk (The) | TTD | short | Advertising Agencies | $44.2B | $36.9B | −17% |
| Kimco Realty | KIM | middle | REIT - Retail | $14.4B | $12.1B | −16% |
| Netflix | NFLX | short | Entertainment | $501B | $419B | −16% |
| Amgen | AMGN | short | Drug Manufacturers - General | $153B | $178B | +16% |
| Mastercard | MA | short | Credit Services | $522B | $606B | +16% |
| Pinnacle West Capital | PNW | middle | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $11.1B | $12.8B | +16% |
| Booking Holdings | BKNG | short | Travel Services | $179B | $207B | +16% |
| Charles Schwab Corporation | SCHW | short | Capital Markets | $176B | $150B | −15% |
| Oracle Corporation | ORCL | short | Software - Infrastructure | $720B | $615B | −15% |
| Parker Hannifin | PH | short | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $89.1B | $76.2B | −14% |
| Procter & Gamble | PG | short | Household & Personal Products | $358B | $307B | −14% |
| Home Depot (The) | HD | short | Home Improvement Retail | $385B | $330B | −14% |
| Estée Lauder Companies (The) | EL | middle | Household & Personal Products | $32.4B | $37.0B | +14% |
| L3Harris | LHX | middle | Aerospace & Defense | $51.8B | $44.5B | −14% |
| Medtronic | MDT | middle | Medical Devices | $114B | $131B | +14% |
| KKR & Co. | KKR | short | Asset Management | $134B | $153B | +14% |
| Corning Inc. | GLW | short | Electronic Components | $54.8B | $47.1B | −14% |
| Masco | MAS | short | Building Products & Equipment | $14.5B | $16.6B | +14% |
| Church & Dwight | CHD | short | Household & Personal Products | $22.5B | $19.4B | −14% |
| IBM | IBM | short | Information Technology Services | $235B | $202B | −14% |
| ResMed | RMD | short | Medical Instruments & Supplies | $41.1B | $35.4B | −14% |
| S&P Global | SPGI | short | Financial Data & Stock Exchanges | $173B | $149B | −14% |
| General Dynamics | GD | middle | Aerospace & Defense | $84.7B | $96.4B | +14% |
| Broadcom | AVGO | short | Semiconductors | $1,419B | $1,225B | −14% |
| Jack Henry & Associates | JKHY | short | Information Technology Services | $12.1B | $10.5B | −14% |
| Ametek | AME | short | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $42.8B | $37.3B | −13% |
| Fortive | FTV | middle | Scientific & Technical Instruments | $16.1B | $14.0B | −13% |
| Expand Energy | EXE | short | Oil & Gas E&P | $24.2B | $27.3B | +13% |
| Erie Indemnity | ERIE | short | Insurance Brokers | $18.8B | $16.3B | −13% |
| McDonald's | MCD | short | Restaurants | $220B | $192B | −13% |
| Keysight Technologies | KEYS | long | Scientific & Technical Instruments | $27.7B | $24.1B | −13% |
| Essex Property Trust | ESS | short | REIT - Residential | $17.6B | $15.3B | −13% |
| EQT Corporation | EQT | short | Oil & Gas E&P | $32.1B | $28.0B | −13% |
| Kellanova | K | short | Packaged Foods | $27.8B | $31.3B | +13% |
| Pool Corporation | POOL | long | Industrial Distribution | $11.6B | $13.0B | +13% |
| Public Storage | PSA | long | REIT - Industrial | $49.4B | $55.5B | +12% |
| BlackRock | BLK | short | Asset Management | $173B | $195B | +12% |
| Labcorp | LH | short | Diagnostics & Research | $21.7B | $24.3B | +12% |
| Yum! Brands | YUM | short | Restaurants | $39.3B | $34.5B | −12% |
| Hormel Foods | HRL | short | Packaged Foods | $15.5B | $17.4B | +12% |
| West Pharmaceutical Services | WST | short | Medical Instruments & Supplies | $17.1B | $15.0B | −12% |
| Citigroup | C | middle | Banks - Diversified | $170B | $191B | +12% |
| Kenvue | KVUE | short | Household & Personal Products | $41.2B | $36.2B | −12% |
| Cboe Global Markets | CBOE | middle | Financial Data & Stock Exchanges | $25.9B | $23.0B | −11% |
| Monster Beverage | MNST | short | Beverages - Non-Alcoholic | $58.0B | $51.4B | −11% |
| Extra Space Storage | EXR | short | REIT - Industrial | $30.6B | $34.1B | +11% |
| Steris | STE | short | Medical Devices | $21.8B | $19.4B | −11% |
| Northrop Grumman | NOC | middle | Aerospace & Defense | $84.4B | $93.7B | +11% |
| McKesson Corporation | MCK | short | Medical Distribution | $87.9B | $97.5B | +11% |
| Healthpeak Properties | DOC | long | REIT - Healthcare Facilities | $11.7B | $10.4B | −11% |
| Roper Technologies | ROP | short | Software - Application | $58.3B | $52.2B | −11% |
| Hologic | HOLX | middle | Medical Instruments & Supplies | $14.9B | $16.4B | +10% |
| Aon plc | AON | middle | Insurance Brokers | $78.4B | $86.5B | +10% |
| Royal Caribbean Group | RCL | short | Travel Services | $85.3B | $94.0B | +10% |
| Exelon | EXC | middle | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $45.8B | $50.4B | +10% |
| Ingersoll Rand | IR | short | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $30.4B | $27.3B | −10% |
| Genuine Parts Company | GPC | middle | Auto Parts | $18.6B | $20.4B | +10% |
| Phillips 66 | PSX | short | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | $48.4B | $53.3B | +10% |
| Aflac | AFL | short | Insurance - Life | $56.0B | $61.6B | +10% |
| Philip Morris International | PM | short | Tobacco | $260B | $234B | −10% |
| Nike, Inc. | NKE | short | Footwear & Accessories | $111B | $101B | −10% |
| Southern Company | SO | short | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $104B | $94.1B | −10% |
| Xcel Energy | XEL | short | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $43.4B | $39.3B | −9% |
| Coca-Cola Company (The) | KO | short | Beverages - Non-Alcoholic | $299B | $271B | −9% |
| Consolidated Edison | ED | short | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $37.5B | $34.2B | −9% |
| Las Vegas Sands | LVS | short | Resorts & Casinos | $36.2B | $39.4B | +9% |
| Paychex | PAYX | middle | Software - Application | $50.1B | $45.8B | −9% |
| Ameren | AEE | short | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $27.5B | $25.1B | −8% |
| MarketAxess | MKTX | middle | Capital Markets | $7.0B | $7.6B | +8% |
| W. W. Grainger | GWW | short | Industrial Distribution | $45.9B | $49.8B | +8% |
| Public Service Enterprise Group | PEG | short | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $42.8B | $39.4B | −8% |
| Synopsys | SNPS | short | Software - Infrastructure | $119B | $109B | −8% |
| FirstEnergy | FE | middle | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $25.1B | $27.0B | +8% |
| Walt Disney Company (The) | DIS | middle | Entertainment | $207B | $223B | +8% |
| Datadog | DDOG | middle | Software - Application | $47.3B | $43.9B | −7% |
| AutoZone | AZO | short | Auto Parts | $68.1B | $63.2B | −7% |
| C.H. Robinson | CHRW | short | Integrated Freight & Logistics | $13.9B | $14.9B | +7% |
| Wabtec | WAB | short | Railroads | $32.2B | $29.9B | −7% |
| Best Buy | BBY | short | Specialty Retail | $14.3B | $13.2B | −7% |
| Clorox | CLX | middle | Household & Personal Products | $15.5B | $16.6B | +7% |
| Linde plc | LIN | short | Specialty Chemicals | $221B | $205B | −7% |
| CMS Energy | CMS | middle | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $22.2B | $23.7B | +7% |
| Salesforce | CRM | middle | Software - Application | $238B | $222B | −7% |
| Coinbase | COIN | middle | Financial Data & Stock Exchanges | $78.0B | $72.8B | −7% |
| Ball Corporation | BALL | short | Packaging & Containers | $14.6B | $15.5B | +7% |
| Prologis | PLD | short | REIT - Industrial | $99.9B | $93.3B | −7% |
| Expeditors International | EXPD | short | Integrated Freight & Logistics | $16.3B | $15.2B | −6% |
| Marriott International | MAR | long | Lodging | $72.0B | $76.6B | +6% |
| Tesla, Inc. | TSLA | short | Auto Manufacturers | $1,032B | $965B | −6% |
| Domino's | DPZ | short | Restaurants | $15.1B | $14.1B | −6% |
| Federal Realty Investment Trust | FRT | long | REIT - Retail | $8.2B | $8.7B | +6% |
| T-Mobile US | TMUS | short | Telecom Services | $269B | $286B | +6% |
| Illinois Tool Works | ITW | middle | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $75.1B | $79.6B | +6% |
| Microsoft | MSFT | short | Software - Infrastructure | $3,902B | $3,669B | −6% |
| Baker Hughes | BKR | short | Oil & Gas Equipment & Services | $44.3B | $47.0B | +6% |
| CME Group | CME | middle | Financial Data & Stock Exchanges | $101B | $95.4B | −6% |
| JPMorgan Chase | JPM | short | Banks - Diversified | $820B | $868B | +6% |
| Duke Energy | DUK | short | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $97.4B | $91.8B | −6% |
| Johnson Controls | JCI | short | Building Products & Equipment | $68.9B | $72.8B | +6% |
| Dover Corporation | DOV | short | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $23.9B | $22.6B | −6% |
| CenterPoint Energy | CNP | short | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $25.2B | $23.8B | −6% |
| NiSource | NI | short | Utilities - Regulated Gas | $19.7B | $18.6B | −5% |
| Danaher Corporation | DHR | short | Diagnostics & Research | $140B | $132B | −5% |
| J.M. Smucker Company (The) | SJM | short | Packaged Foods | $11.6B | $11.0B | −5% |
| eBay Inc. | EBAY | short | Internet Retail | $42.3B | $44.5B | +5% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill | CMG | middle | Restaurants | $57.2B | $60.2B | +5% |
| Tractor Supply | TSCO | middle | Specialty Retail | $31.9B | $33.6B | +5% |
| Atmos Energy | ATO | long | Utilities - Regulated Gas | $24.9B | $23.7B | −5% |
| Ross Stores | ROST | short | Apparel Retail | $47.9B | $50.3B | +5% |
| Constellation Brands | STZ | short | Beverages - Brewers | $29.8B | $31.2B | +5% |
| ServiceNow | NOW | middle | Software - Application | $189B | $180B | −5% |
| Keurig Dr Pepper | KDP | middle | Beverages - Non-Alcoholic | $45.4B | $47.5B | +5% |
| Targa Resources | TRGP | middle | Oil & Gas Midstream | $35.4B | $37.0B | +5% |
| CSX Corporation | CSX | middle | Railroads | $67.1B | $70.1B | +4% |
| Eaton Corporation | ETN | middle | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $140B | $134B | −4% |
| KLA Corporation | KLAC | short | Semiconductor Equipment & Materials | $117B | $113B | −4% |
| WEC Energy Group | WEC | middle | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $35.3B | $36.8B | +4% |
| F5, Inc. | FFIV | middle | Software - Infrastructure | $18.6B | $19.4B | +4% |
| Darden Restaurants | DRI | middle | Restaurants | $23.9B | $22.9B | −4% |
| Invitation Homes | INVH | middle | REIT - Residential | $18.5B | $17.8B | −4% |
| ExxonMobil | XOM | long | Oil & Gas Integrated | $454B | $472B | +4% |
| Air Products | APD | short | Specialty Chemicals | $64.3B | $66.8B | +4% |
| Waters Corporation | WAT | short | Diagnostics & Research | $16.5B | $17.1B | +4% |
| Norfolk Southern | NSC | short | Railroads | $63.5B | $61.2B | −4% |
| FactSet | FDS | middle | Financial Data & Stock Exchanges | $14.8B | $14.3B | −3% |
| Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | AJG | short | Insurance Brokers | $74.1B | $71.7B | −3% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc. | WSM | short | Specialty Retail | $24.7B | $25.5B | +3% |
| ConocoPhillips | COP | short | Oil & Gas E&P | $118B | $121B | +3% |
| Alliant Energy | LNT | short | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $16.9B | $16.4B | −3% |
| Weyerhaeuser | WY | long | REIT - Specialty | $18.4B | $17.9B | −3% |
| AvalonBay Communities | AVB | long | REIT - Residential | $26.8B | $27.4B | +3% |
| Insulet Corporation | PODD | short | Medical Devices | $19.5B | $20.0B | +2% |
| Copart | CPRT | short | Specialty Business Services | $45.6B | $44.4B | −2% |
| DTE Energy | DTE | middle | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $28.9B | $29.6B | +2% |
| Rockwell Automation | ROK | middle | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $37.0B | $37.9B | +2% |
| BNY Mellon | BK | short | Banks - Diversified | $72.1B | $73.7B | +2% |
| Equity Residential | EQR | middle | REIT - Residential | $24.8B | $24.4B | −2% |
| IDEX Corporation | IEX | middle | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $12.0B | $12.2B | +2% |
| Cisco | CSCO | short | Communication Equipment | $274B | $270B | −1% |
| Altria | MO | long | Tobacco | $106B | $105B | −1% |
| McCormick & Company | MKC | short | Packaged Foods | $18.6B | $18.4B | −1% |
| Emerson Electric | EMR | middle | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $77.3B | $78.3B | +1% |
| Goldman Sachs | GS | short | Capital Markets | $219B | $217B | −1% |
| Evergy | EVRG | short | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $16.9B | $17.0B | +1% |
| Eversource Energy | ES | short | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $24.3B | $24.1B | −1% |
| Automatic Data Processing | ADP | middle | Software - Application | $126B | $125B | −1% |
| Hershey Company (The) | HSY | short | Confectioners | $38.2B | $38.0B | −1% |
| PPL Corporation | PPL | short | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $26.7B | $26.9B | +1% |
| Mettler Toledo | MTD | short | Diagnostics & Research | $25.2B | $25.0B | −1% |
| Colgate-Palmolive | CL | short | Household & Personal Products | $68.4B | $68.7B | +1% |
| GoDaddy | GDDY | middle | Software - Infrastructure | $22.1B | $22.1B | +0% |
| Zebra Technologies | ZBRA | middle | Communication Equipment | $15.7B | $15.6B | −0% |
| Trane Technologies | TT | short | Building Products & Equipment | $95.0B | $95.2B | +0% |
Example: The Forecasts Behind One Valuation
Every valuation in the table above is built from fundamental forecasts like these, shown here for one company, Nvidia (NVDA), as a worked example: revenue, earnings, net margin, and shareholder payout through 2035, forecast on August 5, 2025. The amber line is our median forecast; the shaded fan is the P10–P90 range.
Revenue forecastnow $149B
2030 forecast $250B – $463B – $800B (P10 – P50 – P90)
Earnings forecastnow $76.8B
2030 forecast $62.5B – $169B – $384B (P10 – P50 – P90)
Net margin forecastnow 51.7%
2030 forecast 25.0% – 36.5% – 48.0% (P10 – P50 – P90)
Shareholder payout forecastnow 33.9%
2030 forecast 10.0% – 42.5% – 65.0% (P10 – P50 – P90)
historicalFS forecast (median)P10–P90 range
Prediction Market Forecasts vs. the Market
Every position, open and resolved, plotted by how the market priced YES at entry vs our forecast. Distance from the diagonal is the edge we traded on.
openresolved, wonresolved, lost
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Stock Valuations vs. the Market
Every company, plotted by the market's valuation vs ours (log scale). Distance from the diagonal is the upside we see — above it we're long, below it we're short.
longshortmiddle
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