FutureSearch on real markets
We demonstrate our AI forecasters on real markets: prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, and the US stock market (S&P 500). We forecast each one, then put (paper) money on the positions where we disagree most with the market.
Not investment advice. Forecasts and research are for informational purposes only.
Trading results
Kalshi portfolio
as of Jul 8, 2026, 08:02 UTCPaper trading Feb 26 to July 2, 2026 · real money since June 10, 2026
paper portfolio (simulated)real account
Paper portfolio (simulated) · first traded Feb 26
Balance
$137,180
Unrealized P&L
+$3,596
Annualized ROI
+150.2%
Real account · first traded Jun 10
Balance
$103,975
Unrealized P&L
+$8,430
Annualized ROI
+65.3%
Both portfolios start from a $100,000 bankroll. Realized P&L is from markets that have settled; unrealized P&L is open positions marked to the latest price (net of fees and entry spread). The paper portfolio is simulated; the real account runs the same strategy with real money and is much younger, so its annualized figure is an early extrapolation.
Polymarket paper portfolio-16.0%
as of Jul 2, 2026, 10:28 UTCSimulated trades, Apr 24 to July 2, 2026
Resolved markets
3821 won · 17 lost · 55.3% win rate
Realized P&L
−$9,176on $90,911 staked
Mark-to-market return
-16.0%-60.0% annualized
Starts from a $100,000 bankroll and marks every open position to the latest market price.
S&P 500 long–short+26.6%
as of May 19, 2026, 00:00 UTCForecast Aug 5, 2025 · publicly sold as Stockfisher Aug 8 – Sep 2, 2025
net (long − short)longshort
| Net | Long | Short | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total return % | 26.6% | 31.1% | -4.5% | 16.9% |
| CAGR % | 35.2% | 41.4% | -5.7% | 22.1% |
| Ann. volatility % | 8.5% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 14.3% |
| Sharpe (rf=0%) | 3.08 | 2.02 | -0.34 | 1.35 |
| Max drawdown % | -4.3% | -7.6% | -9.8% | -8.9% |
| Beta vs S&P 500 | 0.26 | 0.66 | -0.52 | 1.00 |
| Alpha (ann.) % | 21.2% | 17.6% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| % positive months | 89% | 67% | 44% | 78% |
Industry-neutral, dollar-neutral paper portfolio built from FutureSearch's August 5, 2025 forecasts of each S&P 500 company's revenue, margin, and shareholder payout through 2035: long the most undervalued name and short the bottom half within each GICS industry (51 long bets, 231 short bets). Both baskets plotted as underlying returns; net = long − short. No commissions, borrow cost, or dividends. Read more on our methodology: can AI forecast stocks through fundamental analysis?, calculating intrinsic value from scratch, and a superforecasting approach to stock fundamentals. Not investment advice.
Our forecasts and trades
Prediction Market Positions
181 of 181 positions
NO
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
wonShares29,566
Entry price10¢
Proceeds$29,566
Realized P&L+$26,609
OutcomeNO
fs 87%mkt 90%
NO
Will the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 Virginia redistricting amendment be between 3% and 6%: Yes, 3-6%
wonShares9,260
Entry price6¢
Proceeds$9,260
Realized P&L+$8,726
OutcomeNO
fs 92%mkt 94%
NO
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q1 2026: Above 2.0%
wonShares8,504
Entry price40¢
Proceeds$8,504
Realized P&L+$5,101
OutcomeNO
fs 45%mkt 52%
NO
When will DHS be funded again: Before Apr 1, 2026
wonShares7,653
Entry price48¢
Proceeds$7,653
Realized P&L+$4,001
OutcomeNO
fs 28%mkt 36%
NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
wonShares6,346
Entry price63¢
Proceeds$6,346
Realized P&L+$2,346
OutcomeNO
fs 18%mkt 37%
NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
wonShares6,086
Entry price66¢
Proceeds$6,086
Realized P&L+$2,086
OutcomeNO
fs 10%mkt 34%
NO
Fed decision in Jul 2026: Fed maintains rate
openShares31,723
Avg paid13¢
Last20¢
Unrealized+$2,065
Value$6,345
fs 84%mkt 80%
NO
Which leaders will leave office in 2026: Miguel Díaz-Canel
openShares7,963
Avg paid43¢
Last67¢
Unrealized+$1,927
Value$5,335
fs 29%mkt 33%
NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
wonShares4,918
Entry price61¢
Proceeds$4,918
Realized P&L+$1,895
OutcomeNO
fs 10%mkt 39%
NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
openShares4,678
Avg paid60¢
Last100¢
Unrealized+$1,855
Value$4,662
fs 1%mkt 0%
NO
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before June 1, 2026: Before Jun 1, 2026
wonShares6,172
Entry price73¢
Proceeds$6,172
Realized P&L+$1,663
OutcomeNO
fs 1%mkt 27%
YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
wonShares3,884
Entry price58¢
Proceeds$3,884
Realized P&L+$1,623
OutcomeYES
fs 61%mkt 58%
NO
Texas Republican Senate nominee: John Cornyn
wonShares2,231
Entry price28¢
Proceeds$2,231
Realized P&L+$1,617
OutcomeNO
View market ↗resolved May 27
NO
When will DHS be funded again: Before Apr 22, 2026
wonShares4,786
Entry price70¢
Proceeds$4,786
Realized P&L+$1,445
OutcomeNO
fs 21%mkt 32%
YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...: US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
wonShares2,675
Entry price46¢
Proceeds$2,675
Realized P&L+$1,436
OutcomeYES
fs 50%mkt 46%
YES
When will Pam Bondi depart as Attorney General: Before Apr 16, 2026
wonShares5,499
Entry price74¢
Proceeds$5,499
Realized P&L+$1,420
OutcomeYES
fs 93%mkt 73%
NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...: US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
wonShares4,194
Entry price67¢
Proceeds$4,194
Realized P&L+$1,387
OutcomeNO
fs 25%mkt 33%
NO
Will Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jul 1, 2026?
wonShares4,398
Entry price71¢
Proceeds$4,398
Realized P&L+$1,273
OutcomeNO
fs 25%mkt 29%
NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...: Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
wonShares4,607
Entry price73¢
Proceeds$4,607
Realized P&L+$1,266
OutcomeNO
fs 38%mkt 27%
NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
openShares5,680
Avg paid64¢
Last84¢
Unrealized+$1,097
Value$4,743
fs 12%mkt 17%
NO
Which leaders will leave office in 2026: Benjamin Netanyahu
openShares7,854
Avg paid48¢
Last62¢
Unrealized+$1,076
Value$4,869
fs 42%mkt 38%
NO
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year: Before June
wonShares5,099
Entry price79¢
Proceeds$5,099
Realized P&L+$1,048
OutcomeNO
fs 3%mkt 21%
NO
When will DHS receive full-year funding: Before Apr 1, 2026
wonShares3,379
Entry price70¢
Proceeds$3,379
Realized P&L+$1,010
OutcomeNO
fs 21%mkt 32%
YES
Will any individual in connection with the Minnesota daycare fraud investigations be charged with a fraud, theft, embezzlement, bribery, money laundering, or conspiracy crime before Sep 1, 2026?
wonShares2,066
Entry price52¢
Proceeds$2,066
Realized P&L+$999
OutcomeYES
View market ↗resolved May 27
NO
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-06-01T14:00:00.000Z: Before June 1, 2026
wonShares5,993
Entry price83¢
Proceeds$5,993
Realized P&L+$994
OutcomeNO
fs 2%mkt 17%
NO
Will legislation that would temporarily suspend or reduce the federal excise tax on gasoline become law before Jan 1, 2027?
openShares4,400
Avg paid67¢
Last85¢
Unrealized+$770
Value$3,740
fs 16%mkt 15%
NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
openShares4,793
Avg paid83¢
Last99¢
Unrealized+$753
Value$4,752
fs 7%mkt 1%
NO
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before May 15, 2026?
wonShares4,856
Entry price85¢
Proceeds$4,856
Realized P&L+$736
OutcomeNO
fs 5%mkt 15%
NO
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before May 1, 2026?
wonShares3,825
Entry price81¢
Proceeds$3,825
Realized P&L+$734
OutcomeNO
fs 8%mkt 19%
YES
When will Pam Bondi depart as Attorney General: Before May 1, 2026
wonShares4,798
Entry price85¢
Proceeds$4,798
Realized P&L+$720
OutcomeYES
fs 99%mkt 85%
YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
openShares20,231
Avg paid6¢
Last10¢
Unrealized+$702
Value$1,952
fs 10%mkt 10%
NO
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal: Before Dec 1, 2026
openShares5,337
Avg paid47¢
Last59¢
Unrealized+$661
Value$3,149
fs 52%mkt 41%
NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
wonShares4,520
Entry price88¢
Proceeds$4,520
Realized P&L+$520
OutcomeNO
fs 6%mkt 12%
NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
wonShares4,067
Entry price88¢
Proceeds$4,067
Realized P&L+$508
OutcomeNO
fs 24%mkt 12%
NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
wonShares1,143
Entry price60¢
Proceeds$1,143
Realized P&L+$457
OutcomeNO
fs 38%mkt 40%
NO
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal: Before Aug 1, 2026
openShares2,994
Avg paid80¢
Last95¢
Unrealized+$457
Value$2,844
fs 6%mkt 5%
NO
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $6.50 in January 2027?
openShares2,402
Avg paid75¢
Last94¢
Unrealized+$448
Value$2,258
fs 4%mkt 6%
NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
wonShares4,444
Entry price90¢
Proceeds$4,444
Realized P&L+$444
OutcomeNO
fs 7%mkt 10%
NO
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal before August?
openShares2,719
Avg paid83¢
Last99¢
Unrealized+$421
Value$2,678
fs 2%mkt 2%
YES
Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026: 330000 or more
wonShares806
Entry price53¢
Proceeds$806
Realized P&L+$379
OutcomeYES
fs 57%mkt 53%
NO
South Dakota Republican Governor nominee: Toby Doeden
openShares6,000
Avg paid51¢
Last57¢
Unrealized+$375
Value$3,420
fs 44%mkt 43%
NO
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...: Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
wonShares1,054
Entry price66¢
Proceeds$1,054
Realized P&L+$355
OutcomeNO
fs 28%mkt 34%
NO
Who will win the 2026 CA-14 special election: Aisha Wahab
openShares9,047
Avg paid4¢
Last8¢
Unrealized+$337
Value$724
fs 93%mkt 92%
NO
Israel closes its airspace by...: Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
wonShares1,384
Entry price76¢
Proceeds$1,384
Realized P&L+$333
OutcomeNO
fs 21%mkt 24%
NO
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal: Before Sep 1, 2026
openShares2,069
Avg paid68¢
Last83¢
Unrealized+$303
Value$1,717
fs 20%mkt 17%
NO
Brazil Presidential Election: Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
openShares4,394
Avg paid83¢
Last90¢
Unrealized+$302
Value$3,948
fs 4%mkt 10%
NO
Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Jul 1, 2026: Before July
wonShares2,431
Entry price90¢
Proceeds$2,431
Realized P&L+$238
OutcomeNO
fs 3%mkt 10%
NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
openShares3,152
Avg paid83¢
Last89¢
Unrealized+$186
Value$2,789
fs 8%mkt 12%
NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
openShares6,519
Avg paid56¢
Last59¢
Unrealized+$183
Value$3,814
fs 39%mkt 42%
NO
Maine Senate winner? (Party): Democratic party
openShares7,000
Avg paid44¢
Last46¢
Unrealized+$160
Value$3,220
fs 53%mkt 54%
YES
Fear & Greed Index on Jul 24, 2026: Neutral
openShares1,800
Avg paid22¢
Last31¢
Unrealized+$159
Value$558
fs 26%mkt 31%
NO
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-09-01T14:00:00.000Z: Before September 1, 2026
openShares1,037
Avg paid66¢
Last81¢
Unrealized+$154
Value$840
fs 22%mkt 19%
NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
openShares4,551
Avg paid63¢
Last67¢
Unrealized+$148
Value$3,027
fs 29%mkt 34%
YES
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in January 2027?
openShares415
Avg paid61¢
Last93¢
Unrealized+$134
Value$386
fs 76%mkt 93%
NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
wonShares446
Entry price71¢
Proceeds$446
Realized P&L+$129
OutcomeNO
fs 24%mkt 29%
YES
Gas prices in the US in Jul 2026: Above 3.70
openShares665
Avg paid55¢
Last74¢
Unrealized+$128
Value$492
fs 57%mkt 74%
YES
Will the United States have at least 4,700 data centers listed in 2026?
openShares520
Avg paid59¢
Last82¢
Unrealized+$121
Value$426
fs 92%mkt 82%
NO
Will James McDonald be confirmed as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York before Aug 8, 2026?
openShares475
Avg paid69¢
Last93¢
Unrealized+$116
Value$442
fs 6%mkt 7%
NO
Will James McDonald be confirmed as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York before Jan 1, 2027?
openShares300
Avg paid30¢
Last66¢
Unrealized+$109
Value$198
fs 34%mkt 34%
NO
Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent: At least 10%
openShares684
Avg paid38¢
Last53¢
Unrealized+$106
Value$363
fs 38%mkt 47%
NO
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $5.00 in January 2027?
openShares1,867
Avg paid65¢
Last70¢
Unrealized+$100
Value$1,307
fs 16%mkt 30%
NO
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
openShares2,554
Avg paid93¢
Last97¢
Unrealized+$88
Value$2,475
fs 2%mkt 3%
NO
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
wonShares1,751
Entry price95¢
Proceeds$1,751
Realized P&L+$88
OutcomeNO
fs 2%mkt 5%
NO
Will James McDonald be confirmed as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York before Jul 25, 2026?
openShares406
Avg paid70¢
Last90¢
Unrealized+$83
Value$365
fs 5%mkt 10%
NO
How low will WTI oil get by Jul 31, 2026: 66.49 or below
openShares229
Avg paid25¢
Last61¢
Unrealized+$82
Value$140
fs 71%mkt 39%
NO
Will James McDonald be confirmed as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York before Oct 1, 2026?
openShares330
Avg paid46¢
Last68¢
Unrealized+$74
Value$224
fs 22%mkt 32%
NO
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen: Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
wonShares391
Entry price81¢
Proceeds$391
Realized P&L+$73
OutcomeNO
fs 16%mkt 19%
NO
US-Iran nuclear deal: Before September
openShares993
Avg paid79¢
Last86¢
Unrealized+$70
Value$854
fs 16%mkt 14%
YES
February 2027: Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200: Above $2.50
openShares470
Avg paid69¢
Last83¢
Unrealized+$68
Value$390
fs 82%mkt 83%
YES
Will Iran’s average daily crude oil production for June 2026 be at least 1.8M bpd?
openShares313
Avg paid71¢
Last92¢
Unrealized+$67
Value$288
fs 92%mkt 92%
NO
Week 31: Price of NVIDIA's B200 compute at end of week: Above $5.00
openShares451
Avg paid22¢
Last37¢
Unrealized+$67
Value$167
fs 69%mkt 63%
YES
February 2027: Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200: Above $2.00
openShares429
Avg paid70¢
Last84¢
Unrealized+$62
Value$360
fs 92%mkt 84%
NO
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $4.00 in January 2027?
openShares419
Avg paid44¢
Last58¢
Unrealized+$60
Value$243
fs 33%mkt 42%
NO
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z: Before August 1, 2026
openShares247
Avg paid73¢
Last95¢
Unrealized+$54
Value$235
fs 7%mkt 5%
NO
February 2027: Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200: Above $5.00
openShares415
Avg paid60¢
Last72¢
Unrealized+$51
Value$299
fs 21%mkt 28%
NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
wonShares101
Entry price54¢
Proceeds$101
Realized P&L+$46
OutcomeNO
fs 32%mkt 46%
NO
Will a new nuclear reactor be approved by Dec 31, 2026: Grants license
openShares1,238
Avg paid82¢
Last86¢
Unrealized+$46
Value$1,066
fs 14%mkt 14%
NO
February 2027: Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200: Above $4.50
openShares409
Avg paid59¢
Last69¢
Unrealized+$42
Value$282
fs 28%mkt 31%
YES
February 2027: Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200: Above $1.50
openShares437
Avg paid68¢
Last77¢
Unrealized+$41
Value$336
fs 97%mkt 77%
NO
Week 31: Price of NVIDIA's B200 compute at end of week: Above $6.50
openShares210
Avg paid75¢
Last93¢
Unrealized+$37
Value$195
fs 7%mkt 7%
NO
Will Jay Clayton be confirmed as Director of National Intelligence before Jul 18, 2026?
openShares153
Avg paid58¢
Last79¢
Unrealized+$32
Value$121
fs 5%mkt 21%
NO
Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Anthropic?
openShares790
Avg paid71¢
Last75¢
Unrealized+$31
Value$593
fs 26%mkt 25%
NO
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
openShares5,483
Avg paid73¢
Last74¢
Unrealized+$31
Value$4,030
fs 12%mkt 27%
YES
CPI month-over-month in Jun 2026: Exactly 0.0%
openShares186
Avg paid13¢
Last29¢
Unrealized+$30
Value$54
fs 11%mkt 29%
YES
Will DHS funding bill become law before May 1, 2026?
wonShares96
Entry price69¢
Proceeds$96
Realized P&L+$30
OutcomeYES
fs 37%mkt 53%
NO
FL-11 Republican nominee: Carey Baker
openShares100
Avg paid38¢
Last65¢
Unrealized+$27
Value$65
fs 35%mkt 35%
NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
openShares106
Avg paid74¢
Last100¢
Unrealized+$27
Value$106
fs 2%mkt 0%
YES
Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June: Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
wonShares33
Entry price36¢
Proceeds$33
Realized P&L+$21
OutcomeYES
fs 38%mkt 36%
NO
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.30: Above 4.30
wonShares49
Entry price59¢
Proceeds$49
Realized P&L+$20
OutcomeNO
fs 38%mkt 42%
NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
wonShares114
Entry price83¢
Proceeds$114
Realized P&L+$19
OutcomeNO
fs 6%mkt 17%
NO
Will crypto market structure legislation become law: Before August
openShares160
Avg paid85¢
Last94¢
Unrealized+$14
Value$150
fs 6%mkt 6%
NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
openShares443
Avg paid85¢
Last88¢
Unrealized+$12
Value$388
fs 5%mkt 13%
NO
How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026: $135.01 or above
openShares109
Avg paid70¢
Last77¢
Unrealized+$8
Value$84
fs 17%mkt 23%
YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
openShares220
Avg paid4¢
Last8¢
Unrealized+$8
Value$17
fs 8%mkt 8%
YES
Michael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026: At least $6.0 billion
openShares908
Avg paid3¢
Last4¢
Unrealized+$7
Value$36
fs 6%mkt 4%
NO
Will James McDonald be confirmed as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York before Jul 18, 2026?
openShares221
Avg paid91¢
Last93¢
Unrealized+$5
Value$206
fs 2%mkt 7%
YES
Will Iran’s average daily crude oil production for June 2026 be at least 2.0M bpd?
openShares200
Avg paid52¢
Last54¢
Unrealized+$5
Value$108
fs 67%mkt 54%
YES
Gas prices in the US in Jul 2026: Above 3.30
openShares260
Avg paid93¢
Last95¢
Unrealized+$4
Value$247
fs 98%mkt 95%
NO
Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Jun 1, 2026: Before June
wonShares27
Entry price86¢
Proceeds$27
Realized P&L+$4
OutcomeNO
fs 0%mkt 14%
NO
Will Iran’s average daily crude oil production for June 2026 be at least 3.4M bpd?
openShares52
Avg paid93¢
Last99¢
Unrealized+$3
Value$51
fs 1%mkt 1%
YES
Will Iran’s average daily crude oil production for June 2026 be at least 1.6M bpd?
openShares59
Avg paid90¢
Last94¢
Unrealized+$3
Value$55
fs 97%mkt 94%
NO
CPI year-over-year in Jun 2026: Exactly 3.7%
openShares610
Avg paid74¢
Last74¢
Unrealized+$3
Value$451
fs 18%mkt 26%
NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
wonShares11
Entry price85¢
Proceeds$11
Realized P&L+$2
OutcomeNO
fs 7%mkt 15%
NO
Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee: Peggy Flanagan
openShares179
Avg paid21¢
Last22¢
Unrealized+$2
Value$39
fs 76%mkt 78%
YES
Above 10 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026
openShares0
Avg paid14¢
Last14¢
Unrealized−$0
Value$0
fs 3%mkt 14%
NO
Week 31: Price of NVIDIA's B200 compute at end of week: Above $7.00
openShares105
Avg paid90¢
Last89¢
Unrealized−$1
Value$93
fs 3%mkt 11%
NO
Artist with the most monthly Spotify listeners at the end of Aug 2026: Taylor Swift
openShares421
Avg paid90¢
Last90¢
Unrealized−$1
Value$379
fs 4%mkt 10%
NO
Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Minnesota?
openShares124
Avg paid11¢
Last9¢
Unrealized−$2
Value$11
fs 90%mkt 91%
NO
Will US new home sales for June 2026 be above 560,000?
openShares350
Avg paid14¢
Last13¢
Unrealized−$3
Value$46
fs 80%mkt 87%
NO
Artist with the most monthly Spotify listeners at the end of Aug 2026: Bruno Mars
openShares158
Avg paid18¢
Last16¢
Unrealized−$3
Value$25
fs 78%mkt 84%
YES
MO-01 Democratic nominee: Wesley Bell
openShares585
Avg paid38¢
Last37¢
Unrealized−$4
Value$216
fs 44%mkt 37%
YES
CPI year-over-year in Jun 2026: Exactly 3.9%
openShares581
Avg paid20¢
Last19¢
Unrealized−$5
Value$110
fs 27%mkt 19%
YES
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.00 in January 2027?
openShares395
Avg paid73¢
Last72¢
Unrealized−$6
Value$284
fs 88%mkt 72%
NO
Largest Company end of June: Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
lostShares85
Entry price7¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$6
OutcomeYES
fs 92%mkt 93%
NO
Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen before 2027?
openShares525
Avg paid82¢
Last81¢
Unrealized−$6
Value$425
fs 8%mkt 19%
YES
Will Genter Drummond be the Republican nominee for Governor in Oklahoma: Gentner Drummond
openShares3,752
Avg paid21¢
Last21¢
Unrealized−$6
Value$788
fs 23%mkt 21%
NO
Top Coding AI this month: ChatGPT
openShares114
Avg paid53¢
Last47¢
Unrealized−$7
Value$54
fs 45%mkt 53%
NO
Jun 2026 temperature increase: 1.10 to 1.16
openShares95
Avg paid53¢
Last46¢
Unrealized−$7
Value$43
fs 56%mkt 54%
NO
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $4.50 in January 2027?
openShares415
Avg paid59¢
Last57¢
Unrealized−$7
Value$237
fs 23%mkt 43%
YES
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $1.50 in January 2027?
openShares638
Avg paid79¢
Last78¢
Unrealized−$8
Value$498
fs 95%mkt 78%
NO
Week 31: Price of NVIDIA's B200 compute at end of week: Above $6.00
openShares329
Avg paid75¢
Last73¢
Unrealized−$8
Value$241
fs 15%mkt 27%
NO
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.50 in January 2027?
openShares483
Avg paid44¢
Last42¢
Unrealized−$8
Value$203
fs 47%mkt 58%
NO
Will Jay Clayton be confirmed as Director of National Intelligence before Aug 1, 2026?
openShares36
Avg paid47¢
Last23¢
Unrealized−$8
Value$8
fs 53%mkt 77%
YES
CPI year-over-year in Jun 2026: Exactly 4.0%
openShares625
Avg paid6¢
Last5¢
Unrealized−$9
Value$31
fs 8%mkt 5%
YES
MI-13 Democratic nominee: Shri Thanedar
openShares508
Avg paid19¢
Last17¢
Unrealized−$10
Value$86
fs 22%mkt 17%
YES
Brazil Presidential Election: Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
openShares9,063
Avg paid22¢
Last22¢
Unrealized−$12
Value$1,980
fs 23%mkt 22%
NO
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
openShares3,803
Avg paid89¢
Last89¢
Unrealized−$17
Value$3,375
fs 7%mkt 11%
NO
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June: Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
lostShares34
Entry price52¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$18
OutcomeYES
fs 44%mkt 48%
NO
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in March 2026?
lostShares103
Entry price19¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$19
OutcomeYES
fs 80%mkt 86%
YES
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.50: Above 4.50
lostShares155
Entry price16¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$25
OutcomeNO
fs 18%mkt 12%
NO
Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026: Anthropic
openShares662
Avg paid43¢
Last39¢
Unrealized−$28
Value$258
fs 49%mkt 61%
YES
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee: Haley Stevens
openShares5,883
Avg paid18¢
Last17¢
Unrealized−$31
Value$1,000
fs 20%mkt 17%
YES
Will legislation that, upon becoming law, results in the Department of Homeland Security being funded at 12:01 AM ET the calendar day after enactment become law before Apr 15, 2026?
lostShares330
Entry price9¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$31
OutcomeNO
fs 6%mkt 5%
YES
Michael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026: At least $4.5 billion
openShares243
Avg paid18¢
Last1¢
Unrealized−$41
Value$2
fs 50%mkt 1%
YES
Week 31: Price of NVIDIA's B200 compute at end of week: Above $5.50
openShares182
Avg paid26¢
Last2¢
Unrealized−$44
Value$4
fs 32%mkt 2%
NO
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: Rotten Tomatoes score: Above 95
openShares1,399
Avg paid77¢
Last74¢
Unrealized−$46
Value$1,035
fs 15%mkt 26%
NO
Netanyahu out by...: Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
openShares5,504
Avg paid54¢
Last54¢
Unrealized−$52
Value$2,945
fs 40%mkt 47%
YES
Powell leaves before May 2026?
lostShares1,396
Entry price4¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$56
OutcomeNO
fs 3%mkt 3%
NO
MI-13 Democratic nominee: Donavan McKinney
openShares2,357
Avg paid20¢
Last17¢
Unrealized−$67
Value$401
fs 77%mkt 83%
NO
Michigan Senate winner? (Person): Abdul El-Sayed
openShares1,742
Avg paid40¢
Last36¢
Unrealized−$69
Value$627
fs 55%mkt 64%
NO
MO-01 Democratic nominee: Cori Bush
openShares1,125
Avg paid41¢
Last34¢
Unrealized−$75
Value$382
fs 54%mkt 66%
YES
KY-04 Republican nominee: Thomas Massie
lostShares337
Entry price38¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$128
OutcomeNO
View market ↗resolved May 27
YES
Will exactly 1 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026?
openShares2,004
Avg paid19¢
Last12¢
Unrealized−$130
Value$240
fs 23%mkt 12%
YES
Maine Senate winner? (Party): Republican party
openShares8,000
Avg paid40¢
Last38¢
Unrealized−$132
Value$3,040
fs 46%mkt 38%
NO
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: Rotten Tomatoes score: Above 90
openShares2,911
Avg paid38¢
Last33¢
Unrealized−$137
Value$961
fs 61%mkt 67%
NO
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026: Oklo
openShares975
Avg paid70¢
Last54¢
Unrealized−$156
Value$526
fs 48%mkt 46%
NO
Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026: Pam Bondi
lostShares381
Entry price50¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$190
OutcomeYES
fs 99%mkt 99%
NO
When will DHS be funded again: Before Jun 1, 2026
lostShares644
Entry price32¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$206
OutcomeYES
fs 67%mkt 69%
NO
Will Mike Mazzei be the Republican nominee for Governor in Oklahoma?
openShares6,502
Avg paid22¢
Last19¢
Unrealized−$219
Value$1,235
fs 76%mkt 81%
NO
Gas prices in the US in Mar 2026: Above 3.50
lostShares13,342
Entry price2¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$320
OutcomeYES
fs 97%mkt 99%
NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...: Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
lostShares591
Entry price62¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$366
OutcomeYES
fs 36%mkt 38%
YES
Venezuela leader end of 2026: Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
openShares10,930
Avg paid19¢
Last13¢
Unrealized−$634
Value$1,421
fs 14%mkt 13%
NO
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate: Before Jul 1, 2026
lostShares2,867
Entry price24¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$690
OutcomeYES
fs 74%mkt 76%
NO
GA-14 special election winner: Clayton Fuller
lostShares15,195
Entry price5¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$760
OutcomeYES
fs 94%mkt 96%
NO
Will Trump’s first officially announced pick for Chairman of the Federal Reserve be confirmed as Chairman of the Federal Reserve before May 15, 2026?
lostShares16,170
Entry price5¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$775
OutcomeYES
fs 95%mkt 95%
YES
Gas prices in the US in Mar 2026: Above 4.50
lostShares7,144
Entry price13¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$903
OutcomeNO
fs 20%mkt 10%
YES
How long will the government shutdown last: At least 90 days
lostShares1,454
Entry price66¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$966
OutcomeNO
fs 35%mkt 29%
NO
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate: Before Jun 14, 2026
lostShares2,319
Entry price43¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$999
OutcomeYES
fs 52%mkt 57%
NO
Venezuela leader end of 2026: Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
openShares12,823
Avg paid30¢
Last20¢
Unrealized−$1,325
Value$2,526
fs 78%mkt 80%
NO
Kristi Noem out as DHS Secretary: Before May 1, 2026
lostShares147,690
Entry price1¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$1,477
OutcomeYES
fs 25%mkt 22%
NO
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee: Abdul El-Sayed
openShares23,281
Avg paid23¢
Last17¢
Unrealized−$1,495
Value$3,958
fs 79%mkt 83%
NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
openShares20,564
Avg paid22¢
Last15¢
Unrealized−$1,528
Value$3,085
fs 85%mkt 85%
NO
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...: Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
lostShares3,467
Entry price46¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$1,594
OutcomeYES
fs 52%mkt 54%
YES
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell this year: 1 to 5
lostShares15,021
Entry price11¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$1,615
OutcomeNO
fs 8%mkt 6%
NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
lostShares2,882
Entry price74¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$2,133
OutcomeYES
fs 17%mkt 26%
NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
lostShares4,458
Entry price63¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$2,807
OutcomeYES
fs 5%mkt 37%
NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
openShares15,211
Avg paid37¢
Last17¢
Unrealized−$3,033
Value$2,525
fs 72%mkt 83%
YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...: Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
lostShares46,497
Entry price8¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$3,645
OutcomeNO
fs 88%mkt 8%
NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...: US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
lostShares11,395
Entry price32¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$3,646
OutcomeYES
fs 42%mkt 68%
YES
Colombia Presidential Election: Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
lostShares22,046
Entry price17¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$3,646
OutcomeNO
fs 18%mkt 17%
NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...: US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
lostShares5,379
Entry price68¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$3,646
OutcomeYES
fs 12%mkt 32%
NO
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
openShares34,331
Avg paid12¢
Last1¢
Unrealized−$3,794
Value$429
fs 97%mkt 99%
YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
openShares11,405
Avg paid35¢
Last0¢
Unrealized−$3,924
Value$11
fs 1%mkt 0%
NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
openShares11,245
Avg paid35¢
Last0¢
Unrealized−$3,925
Value$11
fs 99%mkt 100%
NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...: Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
lostShares10,772
Entry price37¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$4,000
OutcomeYES
fs 58%mkt 63%
NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
lostShares8,510
Entry price47¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$4,000
OutcomeYES
fs 25%mkt 53%
NO
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...: Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
lostShares5,723
Entry price70¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$4,000
OutcomeYES
fs 10%mkt 30%
NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
lostShares7,414
Entry price54¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$4,000
OutcomeYES
fs 41%mkt 46%
NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...: U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
lostShares5,010
Entry price80¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$4,000
OutcomeYES
fs 13%mkt 20%
YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
lostShares5,385
Entry price74¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$4,000
OutcomeNO
fs 96%mkt 74%
NO
Colombia Presidential Election: Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
lostShares23,062
Entry price23¢
Proceeds$0
Realized P&L−$5,316
OutcomeYES
fs 23%mkt 77%
Stock Forecasts & Positions
477 of 477 companies · upside = FS valuation vs market cap
| Company | Ticker | Bet | Industry | Market cap | FS valuation, Aug 5 2025 | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle Corporation | ALB | long | Specialty Chemicals | $7.9B | $61.9B | +682% |
| Centene Corporation | CNC | long | Healthcare Plans | $12.4B | $93.6B | +656% |
| Molina Healthcare | MOH | middle | Healthcare Plans | $8.3B | $51.2B | +520% |
| Interpublic Group of Companies (The) | IPG | long | Advertising Agencies | $9.1B | $53.4B | +490% |
| Moderna | MRNA | long | Biotechnology | $10.4B | $45.3B | +335% |
| General Motors | GM | long | Auto Manufacturers | $50.7B | $218B | +330% |
| Northern Trust | NTRS | long | Asset Management | $24.5B | $92.5B | +277% |
| Supermicro | SMCI | long | Computer Hardware | $27.9B | $105B | +277% |
| Align Technology | ALGN | long | Medical Instruments & Supplies | $9.9B | $37.4B | +277% |
| Ford Motor Company | F | short | Auto Manufacturers | $44.6B | $167B | +275% |
| Omnicom Group | OMC | short | Advertising Agencies | $14.1B | $49.0B | +247% |
| Aptiv | APTV | long | Auto Parts | $14.2B | $49.0B | +246% |
| Bunge Global | BG | long | Farm Products | $16.2B | $56.0B | +246% |
| UnitedHealth Group | UNH | middle | Healthcare Plans | $234B | $787B | +236% |
| Enphase Energy | ENPH | long | Solar | $4.1B | $13.4B | +231% |
| PayPal | PYPL | long | Credit Services | $66.3B | $217B | +227% |
| Paramount Global | PARA | long | Entertainment | $7.0B | $22.6B | +223% |
| MGM Resorts | MGM | long | Resorts & Casinos | $9.6B | $30.1B | +215% |
| AES Corporation | AES | long | Utilities - Diversified | $9.1B | $28.7B | +214% |
| Synchrony Financial | SYF | middle | Credit Services | $25.8B | $81.0B | +213% |
| LyondellBasell | LYB | middle | Specialty Chemicals | $15.9B | $49.6B | +211% |
| Eastman Chemical Company | EMN | middle | Specialty Chemicals | $7.0B | $21.7B | +211% |
| Arch Capital Group | ACGL | long | Insurance - Diversified | $33.7B | $104B | +209% |
| APA Corporation | APA | long | Oil & Gas E&P | $6.5B | $18.9B | +190% |
| Cardinal Health | CAH | long | Medical Distribution | $37.4B | $108B | +189% |
| Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings | NCLH | long | Travel Services | $11.2B | $32.3B | +188% |
| Fifth Third Bancorp | FITB | long | Banks - Regional | $27.5B | $79.4B | +188% |
| Humana | HUM | short | Healthcare Plans | $31.2B | $88.4B | +184% |
| CVS Health | CVS | short | Healthcare Plans | $80.6B | $227B | +182% |
| Elevance Health | ELV | short | Healthcare Plans | $64.1B | $178B | +177% |
| CF Industries | CF | long | Agricultural Inputs | $14.8B | $38.5B | +161% |
| Apollo Global Management | APO | middle | Asset Management | $83.4B | $216B | +159% |
| Caesars Entertainment | CZR | middle | Resorts & Casinos | $5.2B | $13.4B | +159% |
| Universal Health Services | UHS | long | Medical Care Facilities | $10.5B | $26.5B | +152% |
| M&T Bank | MTB | middle | Banks - Regional | $29.0B | $72.4B | +150% |
| Airbnb | ABNB | middle | Travel Services | $80.5B | $200B | +148% |
| Lamb Weston | LW | long | Packaged Foods | $7.2B | $17.8B | +148% |
| Baxter International | BAX | middle | Medical Instruments & Supplies | $11.5B | $28.6B | +147% |
| Akamai Technologies | AKAM | long | Software - Infrastructure | $10.6B | $26.2B | +147% |
| Principal Financial Group | PFG | middle | Asset Management | $17.1B | $42.3B | +147% |
| United Parcel Service | UPS | long | Integrated Freight & Logistics | $73.0B | $180B | +146% |
| Global Payments | GPN | long | Specialty Business Services | $20.9B | $51.1B | +145% |
| Devon Energy | DVN | middle | Oil & Gas E&P | $20.8B | $50.1B | +141% |
| Comcast | CMCSA | long | Telecom Services | $119B | $275B | +131% |
| Huntington Bancshares | HBAN | middle | Banks - Regional | $23.5B | $53.7B | +129% |
| Cigna | CI | short | Healthcare Plans | $72.1B | $160B | +122% |
| PulteGroup | PHM | long | Residential Construction | $23.7B | $52.3B | +120% |
| Southwest Airlines | LUV | long | Airlines | $15.6B | $34.4B | +120% |
| Lennar | LEN | middle | Residential Construction | $30.8B | $67.3B | +119% |
| Solventum | SOLV | middle | Medical Instruments & Supplies | $12.6B | $27.0B | +115% |
| ON Semiconductor | ON | long | Semiconductors | $19.2B | $41.2B | +114% |
| EOG Resources | EOG | middle | Oil & Gas E&P | $63.6B | $136B | +114% |
| Lululemon Athletica | LULU | long | Apparel Retail | $23.6B | $49.7B | +111% |
| Diamondback Energy | FANG | middle | Oil & Gas E&P | $42.0B | $88.4B | +110% |
| Mosaic Company (The) | MOS | short | Agricultural Inputs | $9.8B | $20.5B | +109% |
| Chubb Limited | CB | long | Insurance - Property & Casualty | $107B | $225B | +109% |
| Delta Air Lines | DAL | short | Airlines | $35.3B | $73.4B | +108% |
| Travelers Companies (The) | TRV | middle | Insurance - Property & Casualty | $60.2B | $125B | +107% |
| T. Rowe Price | TROW | middle | Asset Management | $23.2B | $48.0B | +107% |
| Smurfit Westrock | SW | long | Packaging & Containers | $22.3B | $46.1B | +107% |
| Molson Coors Beverage Company | TAP | long | Beverages - Brewers | $9.9B | $20.5B | +106% |
| Carnival | CCL | middle | Travel Services | $39.6B | $81.4B | +105% |
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | REGN | middle | Biotechnology | $58.8B | $120B | +104% |
| Archer Daniels Midland | ADM | short | Farm Products | $27.3B | $55.4B | +103% |
| Micron Technology | MU | middle | Semiconductors | $122B | $247B | +103% |
| MetLife | MET | long | Insurance - Life | $51.0B | $103B | +102% |
| Charter Communications | CHTR | middle | Telecom Services | $35.8B | $72.2B | +102% |
| Sempra | SRE | short | Utilities - Diversified | $52.9B | $105B | +99% |
| LKQ Corporation | LKQ | middle | Auto Parts | $7.7B | $15.2B | +98% |
| Stanley Black & Decker | SWK | long | Tools & Accessories | $10.6B | $20.6B | +95% |
| Cognizant | CTSH | long | Information Technology Services | $34.6B | $67.3B | +94% |
| Regions Financial Corporation | RF | middle | Banks - Regional | $22.3B | $42.9B | +92% |
| FedEx | FDX | middle | Integrated Freight & Logistics | $53.4B | $103B | +92% |
| PNC Financial Services | PNC | middle | Banks - Regional | $74.3B | $141B | +90% |
| Fiserv | FI | middle | Information Technology Services | $71.5B | $135B | +89% |
| EPAM Systems | EPAM | middle | Information Technology Services | $8.6B | $16.2B | +89% |
| Western Digital | WDC | middle | Computer Hardware | $25.7B | $48.3B | +88% |
| Globe Life | GL | middle | Insurance - Life | $11.7B | $21.8B | +87% |
| Ameriprise Financial | AMP | middle | Asset Management | $49.6B | $92.6B | +87% |
| Raymond James Financial | RJF | middle | Asset Management | $34.2B | $63.2B | +85% |
| HP Inc. | HPQ | middle | Computer Hardware | $23.5B | $43.1B | +84% |
| Allstate | ALL | middle | Insurance - Property & Casualty | $55.1B | $101B | +83% |
| Applied Materials | AMAT | long | Semiconductor Equipment & Materials | $143B | $261B | +83% |
| Qualcomm | QCOM | middle | Semiconductors | $157B | $287B | +83% |
| Conagra Brands | CAG | middle | Packaged Foods | $9.0B | $16.4B | +81% |
| Deckers Brands | DECK | long | Footwear & Accessories | $15.7B | $28.2B | +80% |
| Hewlett Packard Enterprise | HPE | long | Communication Equipment | $26.4B | $47.1B | +78% |
| Skyworks Solutions | SWKS | middle | Semiconductors | $10.1B | $18.0B | +77% |
| DaVita | DVA | short | Medical Care Facilities | $9.8B | $17.2B | +75% |
| Nucor | NUE | long | Steel | $32.0B | $55.7B | +74% |
| HCA Healthcare | HCA | short | Medical Care Facilities | $85.7B | $149B | +74% |
| Prudential Financial | PRU | short | Insurance - Life | $36.6B | $63.8B | +74% |
| TKO Group Holdings | TKO | middle | Entertainment | $12.7B | $22.1B | +74% |
| Cincinnati Financial | CINF | middle | Insurance - Property & Casualty | $24.1B | $41.7B | +73% |
| Bristol Myers Squibb | BMY | long | Drug Manufacturers - General | $91.2B | $158B | +73% |
| Steel Dynamics | STLD | short | Steel | $18.1B | $31.1B | +71% |
| News Corp | NWS, NWSA | short | Entertainment | $35.0B | $10.1B | −71% |
| Gartner | IT | middle | Information Technology Services | $18.5B | $31.5B | +71% |
| Viatris | VTRS | long | Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic | $10.3B | $17.5B | +70% |
| State Street Corporation | STT | short | Asset Management | $31.4B | $52.7B | +68% |
| Match Group | MTCH | long | Internet Content & Information | $9.1B | $15.3B | +67% |
| Ventas | VTR | short | REIT - Healthcare Facilities | $31.1B | $10.5B | −66% |
| Occidental Petroleum | OXY | middle | Oil & Gas E&P | $41.9B | $69.4B | +66% |
| Cummins | CMI | long | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $52.6B | $86.9B | +65% |
| U.S. Bancorp | USB | short | Banks - Regional | $69.2B | $114B | +65% |
| D. R. Horton | DHI | short | Residential Construction | $45.9B | $75.5B | +64% |
| Assurant | AIZ | short | Insurance - Property & Casualty | $10.6B | $17.5B | +64% |
| Expedia Group | EXPE | short | Travel Services | $23.5B | $38.6B | +64% |
| GE Vernova | GEV | short | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $181B | $65.8B | −64% |
| Bio-Techne | TECH | middle | Biotechnology | $7.8B | $12.8B | +64% |
| Accenture | ACN | middle | Information Technology Services | $154B | $251B | +63% |
| American Express | AXP | middle | Credit Services | $206B | $334B | +62% |
| First Solar | FSLR | short | Solar | $19.8B | $32.2B | +62% |
| Target Corporation | TGT | long | Discount Stores | $47.9B | $77.0B | +61% |
| NVR, Inc. | NVR | short | Residential Construction | $21.9B | $35.1B | +60% |
| Halliburton | HAL | long | Oil & Gas Equipment & Services | $18.1B | $29.0B | +60% |
| UDR, Inc. | UDR | short | REIT - Residential | $14.5B | $5.8B | −60% |
| Invesco | IVZ | short | Asset Management | $9.4B | $15.0B | +60% |
| Wells Fargo | WFC | long | Banks - Diversified | $250B | $398B | +59% |
| Axon Enterprise | AXON | short | Aerospace & Defense | $67.8B | $27.6B | −59% |
| Live Nation Entertainment | LYV | short | Entertainment | $35.0B | $14.3B | −59% |
| Builders FirstSource | BLDR | long | Building Products & Equipment | $14.5B | $23.0B | +59% |
| Howmet Aerospace | HWM | short | Aerospace & Defense | $73.4B | $30.3B | −59% |
| Verizon | VZ | middle | Telecom Services | $179B | $283B | +59% |
| CDW Corporation | CDW | short | Information Technology Services | $21.8B | $34.5B | +58% |
| Incyte | INCY | short | Biotechnology | $15.2B | $6.4B | −58% |
| Tyler Technologies | TYL | short | Software - Application | $26.5B | $11.2B | −58% |
| Citizens Financial Group | CFG | short | Banks - Regional | $20.2B | $31.9B | +58% |
| Textron | TXT | long | Aerospace & Defense | $13.8B | $21.7B | +57% |
| Edison International | EIX | long | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $21.1B | $33.1B | +57% |
| Schlumberger | SLB | short | Oil & Gas Equipment & Services | $49.0B | $76.8B | +57% |
| General Mills | GIS | middle | Packaged Foods | $26.7B | $41.8B | +56% |
| Jacobs Solutions | J | long | Engineering & Construction | $17.7B | $27.3B | +54% |
| Biogen | BIIB | middle | Drug Manufacturers - General | $19.0B | $29.2B | +54% |
| Carrier Global | CARR | middle | Building Products & Equipment | $56.3B | $86.2B | +53% |
| CoStar Group | CSGP | short | Real Estate Services | $40.8B | $19.2B | −53% |
| Amcor | AMCR | middle | Packaging & Containers | $21.6B | $33.0B | +53% |
| Truist Financial | TFC | short | Banks - Regional | $55.5B | $84.7B | +53% |
| Pfizer | PFE | middle | Drug Manufacturers - General | $136B | $207B | +52% |
| Gen Digital | GEN | long | Software - Infrastructure | $17.7B | $26.8B | +52% |
| Campbell's Company (The) | CPB | middle | Packaged Foods | $9.7B | $14.8B | +52% |
| Welltower | WELL | short | REIT - Healthcare Facilities | $113B | $55.0B | −51% |
| Costco | COST | short | Discount Stores | $430B | $209B | −51% |
| Equinix | EQIX | short | REIT - Specialty | $75.6B | $37.3B | −51% |
| Palantir Technologies | PLTR | short | Software - Infrastructure | $426B | $210B | −51% |
| KeyCorp | KEY | short | Banks - Regional | $19.5B | $29.3B | +51% |
| Cencora | COR | middle | Medical Distribution | $55.0B | $82.6B | +50% |
| Tyson Foods | TSN | short | Farm Products | $19.9B | $29.9B | +50% |
| Charles River Laboratories | CRL | long | Diagnostics & Research | $7.4B | $11.0B | +49% |
| GE HealthCare | GEHC | long | Medical Devices | $31.9B | $47.5B | +49% |
| Nvidia | NVDA | short | Semiconductors | $4,408B | $2,285B | −48% |
| Intel | INTC | middle | Semiconductors | $89.3B | $132B | +48% |
| Crown Castle | CCI | short | REIT - Specialty | $45.8B | $23.9B | −48% |
| Avery Dennison | AVY | middle | Packaging & Containers | $13.1B | $19.3B | +48% |
| Teradyne | TER | middle | Semiconductor Equipment & Materials | $16.7B | $24.6B | +47% |
| W. R. Berkley Corporation | WRB | short | Insurance - Property & Casualty | $26.8B | $39.4B | +47% |
| Corpay | CPAY | middle | Software - Infrastructure | $22.2B | $32.7B | +47% |
| Walmart | WMT | short | Discount Stores | $825B | $438B | −47% |
| Quanta Services | PWR | short | Engineering & Construction | $57.7B | $30.9B | −47% |
| Lam Research | LRCX | short | Semiconductor Equipment & Materials | $122B | $178B | +46% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation | TPL | short | Oil & Gas E&P | $21.9B | $11.8B | −46% |
| Adobe Inc. | ADBE | long | Software - Application | $147B | $214B | +46% |
| Jabil | JBL | long | Electronic Components | $23.7B | $34.5B | +46% |
| Loews Corporation | L | short | Insurance - Property & Casualty | $19.5B | $28.4B | +45% |
| Dayforce | DAY | long | Software - Application | $8.5B | $12.4B | +45% |
| Amazon | AMZN | long | Internet Retail | $2,371B | $3,438B | +45% |
| Dell Technologies | DELL | short | Computer Hardware | $90.3B | $130B | +44% |
| Fair Isaac | FICO | short | Software - Application | $33.5B | $18.7B | −44% |
| Cadence Design Systems | CDNS | short | Software - Application | $100B | $57.7B | −42% |
| IQVIA | IQV | middle | Diagnostics & Research | $30.7B | $43.6B | +42% |
| Alexandria Real Estate Equities | ARE | long | REIT - Office | $12.6B | $17.9B | +42% |
| Lilly (Eli) | LLY | short | Drug Manufacturers - General | $670B | $391B | −42% |
| Edwards Lifesciences | EW | middle | Medical Devices | $46.1B | $65.3B | +42% |
| Zimmer Biomet | ZBH | middle | Medical Devices | $18.0B | $25.5B | +41% |
| NXP Semiconductors | NXPI | middle | Semiconductors | $51.9B | $73.4B | +41% |
| Idexx Laboratories | IDXX | short | Diagnostics & Research | $49.9B | $29.2B | −41% |
| Snap-on | SNA | short | Tools & Accessories | $16.9B | $23.8B | +41% |
| DoorDash | DASH | short | Internet Retail | $109B | $64.1B | −41% |
| Advanced Micro Devices | AMD | short | Semiconductors | $264B | $156B | −41% |
| Intuitive Surgical | ISRG | short | Medical Instruments & Supplies | $170B | $102B | −40% |
| Boeing | BA | short | Aerospace & Defense | $170B | $102B | −40% |
| American International Group | AIG | middle | Insurance - Diversified | $45.6B | $63.8B | +40% |
| Vulcan Materials Company | VMC | short | Building Materials | $37.2B | $22.4B | −40% |
| Paccar | PCAR | long | Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | $51.1B | $71.4B | +40% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery | WBD | middle | Entertainment | $31.6B | $44.1B | +39% |
| Wynn Resorts | WYNN | short | Resorts & Casinos | $11.2B | $15.6B | +39% |
| Marsh McLennan | MMC | long | Insurance Brokers | $98.2B | $137B | +39% |
| Fastenal | FAST | short | Industrial Distribution | $54.5B | $33.2B | −39% |
| Leidos | LDOS | short | Information Technology Services | $22.4B | $30.8B | +38% |
| American Electric Power | AEP | long | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $60.7B | $83.6B | +38% |
| United Airlines Holdings | UAL | short | Airlines | $28.8B | $39.5B | +37% |
| Alphabet Inc. | GOOGL | short | Internet Content & Information | $2,375B | $3,254B | +37% |
| Fox Corporation | FOXA, FOX | short | Entertainment | $46.5B | $29.5B | −37% |
| Berkshire Hathaway | BRK.B, BRK.A | short | Insurance - Diversified | $2,023B | $1,285B | −36% |
| Williams Companies | WMB | short | Oil & Gas Midstream | $71.6B | $45.9B | −36% |
| Constellation Energy | CEG | short | Utilities - Independent Power Producers | $106B | $68.1B | −36% |
| Boston Scientific | BSX | short | Medical Devices | $153B | $98.6B | −35% |
| Meta Platforms | META | short | Internet Content & Information | $1,939B | $2,624B | +35% |
| Oneok | OKE | long | Oil & Gas Midstream | $47.4B | $64.0B | +35% |
| Iron Mountain | IRM | short | REIT - Specialty | $26.6B | $17.3B | −35% |
| Coterra | CTRA | short | Oil & Gas E&P | $18.5B | $25.0B | +35% |
| Cintas | CTAS | short | Specialty Business Services | $90.4B | $59.3B | −34% |
| American Tower | AMT | short | REIT - Specialty | $97.8B | $64.6B | −34% |
| Garmin | GRMN | short | Scientific & Technical Instruments | $44.3B | $29.6B | −33% |
| O’Reilly Automotive | ORLY | short | Auto Parts | $88.7B | $59.4B | −33% |
| Verisk Analytics | VRSK | short | Consulting Services | $38.0B | $25.5B | −33% |
| Dollar General | DG | middle | Discount Stores | $24.9B | $33.0B | +32% |
| Progressive Corporation | PGR | short | Insurance - Property & Casualty | $145B | $192B | +32% |
| Palo Alto Networks | PANW | short | Software - Infrastructure | $115B | $78.4B | −32% |
| Union Pacific Corporation | UNP | long | Railroads | $134B | $176B | +32% |
| Blackstone Inc. | BX | short | Asset Management | $208B | $142B | −32% |
| Simon Property Group | SPG | short | REIT - Retail | $63.2B | $43.2B | −32% |
| Revvity | RVTY | middle | Diagnostics & Research | $10.1B | $13.3B | +31% |
| Moody's Corporation | MCO | short | Financial Data & Stock Exchanges | $95.5B | $65.5B | −31% |
| Dominion Energy | D | middle | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $52.0B | $68.4B | +31% |
| J.B. Hunt | JBHT | middle | Integrated Freight & Logistics | $13.9B | $18.2B | +31% |
| Hartford (The) | HIG | short | Insurance - Diversified | $36.2B | $47.5B | +31% |
| Corteva | CTVA | short | Agricultural Inputs | $48.6B | $33.4B | −31% |
| Monolithic Power Systems | MPWR | short | Semiconductors | $38.6B | $26.7B | −31% |
| A. O. Smith | AOS | long | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $9.9B | $13.0B | +31% |
| Becton Dickinson | BDX | middle | Medical Instruments & Supplies | $49.4B | $64.5B | +31% |
| Realty Income | O | short | REIT - Retail | $51.4B | $35.7B | −30% |
| Gilead Sciences | GILD | short | Drug Manufacturers - General | $137B | $95.8B | −30% |
| Dexcom | DXCM | middle | Medical Devices | $30.0B | $39.0B | +30% |
| Lowe's | LOW | long | Home Improvement Retail | $134B | $174B | +30% |
| Xylem Inc. | XYL | short | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $35.0B | $24.4B | −30% |
| Hilton Worldwide | HLT | short | Lodging | $61.4B | $43.0B | −30% |
| CrowdStrike | CRWD | short | Software - Infrastructure | $115B | $80.6B | −30% |
| Zoetis | ZTS | short | Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic | $65.2B | $84.6B | +30% |
| Stryker Corporation | SYK | short | Medical Devices | $143B | $101B | −30% |
| Intercontinental Exchange | ICE | short | Financial Data & Stock Exchanges | $108B | $75.8B | −30% |
| BXP, Inc. | BXP | short | REIT - Office | $11.7B | $8.3B | −29% |
| Equifax | EFX | long | Consulting Services | $29.6B | $21.1B | −29% |
| Amphenol | APH | short | Electronic Components | $134B | $95.1B | −29% |
| Mondelez International | MDLZ | long | Confectioners | $80.3B | $103B | +28% |
| TE Connectivity | TEL | middle | Electronic Components | $59.1B | $75.6B | +28% |
| Huntington Ingalls Industries | HII | middle | Aerospace & Defense | $10.8B | $13.8B | +27% |
| Seagate Technology | STX | short | Computer Hardware | $31.3B | $39.8B | +27% |
| Camden Property Trust | CPT | short | REIT - Residential | $11.4B | $8.3B | −27% |
| Deere & Company | DE | short | Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | $138B | $175B | +27% |
| PG&E Corporation | PCG | middle | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $33.3B | $42.1B | +27% |
| Bank of America | BAC | middle | Banks - Diversified | $336B | $425B | +26% |
| Thermo Fisher Scientific | TMO | middle | Diagnostics & Research | $170B | $214B | +26% |
| Otis Worldwide | OTIS | middle | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $34.1B | $42.9B | +26% |
| Capital One | COF | short | Credit Services | $136B | $171B | +26% |
| International Flavors & Fragrances | IFF | middle | Specialty Chemicals | $16.9B | $21.2B | +26% |
| Kimberly-Clark | KMB | long | Household & Personal Products | $45.3B | $56.9B | +26% |
| Lockheed Martin | LMT | middle | Aerospace & Defense | $102B | $127B | +25% |
| Texas Instruments | TXN | middle | Semiconductors | $169B | $211B | +25% |
| Digital Realty | DLR | middle | REIT - Specialty | $58.9B | $44.3B | −25% |
| Analog Devices | ADI | short | Semiconductors | $110B | $82.6B | −25% |
| NetApp | NTAP | middle | Software - Infrastructure | $20.7B | $25.7B | +24% |
| Intuit | INTU | short | Software - Application | $217B | $165B | −24% |
| Entergy | ETR | short | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $40.3B | $30.6B | −24% |
| Lennox International | LII | middle | Building Products & Equipment | $20.9B | $25.9B | +24% |
| GE Aerospace | GE | short | Aerospace & Defense | $289B | $220B | −24% |
| Nasdaq, Inc. | NDAQ | short | Financial Data & Stock Exchanges | $55.4B | $42.4B | −24% |
| Kraft Heinz | KHC | middle | Packaged Foods | $32.3B | $39.7B | +23% |
| Uber | UBER | middle | Software - Application | $187B | $229B | +23% |
| Arista Networks | ANET | short | Computer Hardware | $174B | $134B | −23% |
| Microchip Technology | MCHP | short | Semiconductors | $35.7B | $27.6B | −23% |
| Motorola Solutions | MSI | short | Communication Equipment | $73.8B | $57.0B | −23% |
| Verisign | VRSN | short | Software - Infrastructure | $25.5B | $19.7B | −23% |
| PTC Inc. | PTC | short | Software - Application | $25.8B | $20.0B | −23% |
| Teledyne Technologies | TDY | short | Scientific & Technical Instruments | $25.7B | $20.0B | −22% |
| 3M | MMM | short | Conglomerates | $80.3B | $62.5B | −22% |
| Quest Diagnostics | DGX | middle | Diagnostics & Research | $19.3B | $23.6B | +22% |
| Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | middle | Drug Manufacturers - General | $411B | $501B | +22% |
| Vistra Corp. | VST | short | Utilities - Independent Power Producers | $68.2B | $53.4B | −22% |
| Mid-America Apartment Communities | MAA | short | REIT - Residential | $16.9B | $13.2B | −22% |
| Block, Inc. | SQ | middle | Software - Infrastructure | $46.8B | $56.9B | +21% |
| Dollar Tree | DLTR | middle | Discount Stores | $24.3B | $19.1B | −21% |
| Packaging Corporation of America | PKG | short | Packaging & Containers | $17.3B | $20.9B | +21% |
| Ulta Beauty | ULTA | long | Specialty Retail | $23.2B | $28.1B | +21% |
| Valero Energy | VLO | long | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | $41.5B | $50.2B | +21% |
| Martin Marietta Materials | MLM | long | Building Materials | $36.1B | $28.5B | −21% |
| Take-Two Interactive | TTWO | short | Electronic Gaming & Multimedia | $41.9B | $33.2B | −21% |
| Trimble Inc. | TRMB | middle | Scientific & Technical Instruments | $20.1B | $15.9B | −21% |
| Marathon Petroleum | MPC | short | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | $49.4B | $59.6B | +21% |
| TransDigm Group | TDG | short | Aerospace & Defense | $78.7B | $62.5B | −21% |
| Fidelity National Information Services | FIS | short | Information Technology Services | $36.7B | $29.1B | −21% |
| RTX Corporation | RTX | short | Aerospace & Defense | $208B | $166B | −20% |
| Franklin Resources | BEN | short | Asset Management | $13.1B | $15.7B | +20% |
| Regency Centers | REG | middle | REIT - Retail | $13.4B | $10.7B | −20% |
| SBA Communications | SBAC | middle | REIT - Specialty | $23.6B | $18.9B | −20% |
| PepsiCo | PEP | long | Beverages - Non-Alcoholic | $193B | $232B | +20% |
| DuPont | DD | short | Specialty Chemicals | $29.6B | $23.8B | −20% |
| Nordson Corporation | NDSN | middle | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $11.9B | $14.3B | +20% |
| Broadridge Financial Solutions | BR | short | Information Technology Services | $31.3B | $25.2B | −20% |
| TJX Companies | TJX | short | Apparel Retail | $147B | $118B | −20% |
| Waste Management | WM | short | Waste Management | $93.3B | $75.0B | −20% |
| Ecolab | ECL | short | Specialty Chemicals | $76.4B | $61.5B | −19% |
| Republic Services | RSG | long | Waste Management | $73.5B | $59.3B | −19% |
| International Paper | IP | short | Packaging & Containers | $24.5B | $29.2B | +19% |
| Merck & Co. | MRK | middle | Drug Manufacturers - General | $199B | $238B | +19% |
| Willis Towers Watson | WTW | short | Insurance Brokers | $31.8B | $25.6B | −19% |
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals | VRTX | short | Biotechnology | $98.8B | $118B | +19% |
| Henry Schein | HSIC | short | Medical Distribution | $8.3B | $9.9B | +19% |
| NextEra Energy | NEE | middle | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $145B | $173B | +19% |
| Fortinet | FTNT | short | Software - Infrastructure | $73.9B | $59.9B | −19% |
| Electronic Arts | EA | long | Electronic Gaming & Multimedia | $40.8B | $33.1B | −19% |
| Visa Inc. | V | short | Credit Services | $659B | $783B | +19% |
| AT&T | T | short | Telecom Services | $197B | $233B | +19% |
| Paycom | PAYC | middle | Software - Application | $12.5B | $14.8B | +19% |
| CBRE Group | CBRE | long | Real Estate Services | $46.4B | $37.8B | −18% |
| NRG Energy | NRG | long | Utilities - Independent Power Producers | $29.0B | $34.4B | +18% |
| Kinder Morgan | KMI | short | Oil & Gas Midstream | $59.4B | $48.6B | −18% |
| Abbott Laboratories | ABT | short | Medical Devices | $228B | $187B | −18% |
| MSCI Inc. | MSCI | long | Financial Data & Stock Exchanges | $42.4B | $50.1B | +18% |
| AbbVie | ABBV | short | Drug Manufacturers - General | $347B | $284B | −18% |
| Chevron Corporation | CVX | short | Oil & Gas Integrated | $311B | $255B | −18% |
| Brown & Brown | BRO | middle | Insurance Brokers | $30.3B | $35.7B | +18% |
| PPG Industries | PPG | middle | Specialty Chemicals | $24.1B | $28.4B | +18% |
| Generac | GNRC | short | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $11.4B | $9.4B | −18% |
| Caterpillar Inc. | CAT | short | Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | $201B | $236B | +18% |
| Sherwin-Williams | SHW | short | Specialty Chemicals | $87.4B | $72.2B | −17% |
| Morgan Stanley | MS | long | Capital Markets | $226B | $264B | +17% |
| Agilent Technologies | A | short | Diagnostics & Research | $32.2B | $37.7B | +17% |
| Starbucks | SBUX | long | Restaurants | $101B | $118B | +17% |
| Workday, Inc. | WDAY | short | Software - Application | $63.0B | $52.4B | −17% |
| Honeywell | HON | long | Conglomerates | $139B | $163B | +17% |
| Cooper Companies (The) | COO | short | Medical Instruments & Supplies | $13.6B | $11.3B | −17% |
| Autodesk | ADSK | short | Software - Application | $65.3B | $54.4B | −17% |
| Pentair | PNR | short | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $16.8B | $14.0B | −17% |
| Trade Desk (The) | TTD | short | Advertising Agencies | $44.2B | $36.9B | −17% |
| Kimco Realty | KIM | middle | REIT - Retail | $14.4B | $12.1B | −16% |
| Netflix | NFLX | short | Entertainment | $501B | $419B | −16% |
| Amgen | AMGN | short | Drug Manufacturers - General | $153B | $178B | +16% |
| Mastercard | MA | short | Credit Services | $522B | $606B | +16% |
| Pinnacle West Capital | PNW | middle | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $11.1B | $12.8B | +16% |
| Booking Holdings | BKNG | short | Travel Services | $179B | $207B | +16% |
| Charles Schwab Corporation | SCHW | short | Capital Markets | $176B | $150B | −15% |
| Oracle Corporation | ORCL | short | Software - Infrastructure | $720B | $615B | −15% |
| Parker Hannifin | PH | short | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $89.1B | $76.2B | −14% |
| Procter & Gamble | PG | short | Household & Personal Products | $358B | $307B | −14% |
| Home Depot (The) | HD | short | Home Improvement Retail | $385B | $330B | −14% |
| Estée Lauder Companies (The) | EL | middle | Household & Personal Products | $32.4B | $37.0B | +14% |
| L3Harris | LHX | middle | Aerospace & Defense | $51.8B | $44.5B | −14% |
| Medtronic | MDT | middle | Medical Devices | $114B | $131B | +14% |
| KKR & Co. | KKR | short | Asset Management | $134B | $153B | +14% |
| Corning Inc. | GLW | short | Electronic Components | $54.8B | $47.1B | −14% |
| Masco | MAS | short | Building Products & Equipment | $14.5B | $16.6B | +14% |
| Church & Dwight | CHD | short | Household & Personal Products | $22.5B | $19.4B | −14% |
| IBM | IBM | short | Information Technology Services | $235B | $202B | −14% |
| ResMed | RMD | short | Medical Instruments & Supplies | $41.1B | $35.4B | −14% |
| S&P Global | SPGI | short | Financial Data & Stock Exchanges | $173B | $149B | −14% |
| General Dynamics | GD | middle | Aerospace & Defense | $84.7B | $96.4B | +14% |
| Broadcom | AVGO | short | Semiconductors | $1,419B | $1,225B | −14% |
| Jack Henry & Associates | JKHY | short | Information Technology Services | $12.1B | $10.5B | −14% |
| Ametek | AME | short | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $42.8B | $37.3B | −13% |
| Fortive | FTV | middle | Scientific & Technical Instruments | $16.1B | $14.0B | −13% |
| Expand Energy | EXE | short | Oil & Gas E&P | $24.2B | $27.3B | +13% |
| Erie Indemnity | ERIE | short | Insurance Brokers | $18.8B | $16.3B | −13% |
| McDonald's | MCD | short | Restaurants | $220B | $192B | −13% |
| Keysight Technologies | KEYS | long | Scientific & Technical Instruments | $27.7B | $24.1B | −13% |
| Essex Property Trust | ESS | short | REIT - Residential | $17.6B | $15.3B | −13% |
| EQT Corporation | EQT | short | Oil & Gas E&P | $32.1B | $28.0B | −13% |
| Kellanova | K | short | Packaged Foods | $27.8B | $31.3B | +13% |
| Pool Corporation | POOL | long | Industrial Distribution | $11.6B | $13.0B | +13% |
| Public Storage | PSA | long | REIT - Industrial | $49.4B | $55.5B | +12% |
| BlackRock | BLK | short | Asset Management | $173B | $195B | +12% |
| Labcorp | LH | short | Diagnostics & Research | $21.7B | $24.3B | +12% |
| Yum! Brands | YUM | short | Restaurants | $39.3B | $34.5B | −12% |
| Hormel Foods | HRL | short | Packaged Foods | $15.5B | $17.4B | +12% |
| West Pharmaceutical Services | WST | short | Medical Instruments & Supplies | $17.1B | $15.0B | −12% |
| Citigroup | C | middle | Banks - Diversified | $170B | $191B | +12% |
| Kenvue | KVUE | short | Household & Personal Products | $41.2B | $36.2B | −12% |
| Cboe Global Markets | CBOE | middle | Financial Data & Stock Exchanges | $25.9B | $23.0B | −11% |
| Monster Beverage | MNST | short | Beverages - Non-Alcoholic | $58.0B | $51.4B | −11% |
| Extra Space Storage | EXR | short | REIT - Industrial | $30.6B | $34.1B | +11% |
| Steris | STE | short | Medical Devices | $21.8B | $19.4B | −11% |
| Northrop Grumman | NOC | middle | Aerospace & Defense | $84.4B | $93.7B | +11% |
| McKesson Corporation | MCK | short | Medical Distribution | $87.9B | $97.5B | +11% |
| Healthpeak Properties | DOC | long | REIT - Healthcare Facilities | $11.7B | $10.4B | −11% |
| Roper Technologies | ROP | short | Software - Application | $58.3B | $52.2B | −11% |
| Hologic | HOLX | middle | Medical Instruments & Supplies | $14.9B | $16.4B | +10% |
| Aon plc | AON | middle | Insurance Brokers | $78.4B | $86.5B | +10% |
| Royal Caribbean Group | RCL | short | Travel Services | $85.3B | $94.0B | +10% |
| Exelon | EXC | middle | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $45.8B | $50.4B | +10% |
| Ingersoll Rand | IR | short | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $30.4B | $27.3B | −10% |
| Genuine Parts Company | GPC | middle | Auto Parts | $18.6B | $20.4B | +10% |
| Phillips 66 | PSX | short | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | $48.4B | $53.3B | +10% |
| Aflac | AFL | short | Insurance - Life | $56.0B | $61.6B | +10% |
| Philip Morris International | PM | short | Tobacco | $260B | $234B | −10% |
| Nike, Inc. | NKE | short | Footwear & Accessories | $111B | $101B | −10% |
| Southern Company | SO | short | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $104B | $94.1B | −10% |
| Xcel Energy | XEL | short | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $43.4B | $39.3B | −9% |
| Coca-Cola Company (The) | KO | short | Beverages - Non-Alcoholic | $299B | $271B | −9% |
| Consolidated Edison | ED | short | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $37.5B | $34.2B | −9% |
| Las Vegas Sands | LVS | short | Resorts & Casinos | $36.2B | $39.4B | +9% |
| Paychex | PAYX | middle | Software - Application | $50.1B | $45.8B | −9% |
| Ameren | AEE | short | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $27.5B | $25.1B | −8% |
| MarketAxess | MKTX | middle | Capital Markets | $7.0B | $7.6B | +8% |
| W. W. Grainger | GWW | short | Industrial Distribution | $45.9B | $49.8B | +8% |
| Public Service Enterprise Group | PEG | short | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $42.8B | $39.4B | −8% |
| Synopsys | SNPS | short | Software - Infrastructure | $119B | $109B | −8% |
| FirstEnergy | FE | middle | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $25.1B | $27.0B | +8% |
| Walt Disney Company (The) | DIS | middle | Entertainment | $207B | $223B | +8% |
| Datadog | DDOG | middle | Software - Application | $47.3B | $43.9B | −7% |
| AutoZone | AZO | short | Auto Parts | $68.1B | $63.2B | −7% |
| C.H. Robinson | CHRW | short | Integrated Freight & Logistics | $13.9B | $14.9B | +7% |
| Wabtec | WAB | short | Railroads | $32.2B | $29.9B | −7% |
| Best Buy | BBY | short | Specialty Retail | $14.3B | $13.2B | −7% |
| Clorox | CLX | middle | Household & Personal Products | $15.5B | $16.6B | +7% |
| Linde plc | LIN | short | Specialty Chemicals | $221B | $205B | −7% |
| CMS Energy | CMS | middle | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $22.2B | $23.7B | +7% |
| Salesforce | CRM | middle | Software - Application | $238B | $222B | −7% |
| Coinbase | COIN | middle | Financial Data & Stock Exchanges | $78.0B | $72.8B | −7% |
| Ball Corporation | BALL | short | Packaging & Containers | $14.6B | $15.5B | +7% |
| Prologis | PLD | short | REIT - Industrial | $99.9B | $93.3B | −7% |
| Expeditors International | EXPD | short | Integrated Freight & Logistics | $16.3B | $15.2B | −6% |
| Marriott International | MAR | long | Lodging | $72.0B | $76.6B | +6% |
| Tesla, Inc. | TSLA | short | Auto Manufacturers | $1,032B | $965B | −6% |
| Domino's | DPZ | short | Restaurants | $15.1B | $14.1B | −6% |
| Federal Realty Investment Trust | FRT | long | REIT - Retail | $8.2B | $8.7B | +6% |
| T-Mobile US | TMUS | short | Telecom Services | $269B | $286B | +6% |
| Illinois Tool Works | ITW | middle | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $75.1B | $79.6B | +6% |
| Microsoft | MSFT | short | Software - Infrastructure | $3,902B | $3,669B | −6% |
| Baker Hughes | BKR | short | Oil & Gas Equipment & Services | $44.3B | $47.0B | +6% |
| CME Group | CME | middle | Financial Data & Stock Exchanges | $101B | $95.4B | −6% |
| JPMorgan Chase | JPM | short | Banks - Diversified | $820B | $868B | +6% |
| Duke Energy | DUK | short | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $97.4B | $91.8B | −6% |
| Johnson Controls | JCI | short | Building Products & Equipment | $68.9B | $72.8B | +6% |
| Dover Corporation | DOV | short | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $23.9B | $22.6B | −6% |
| CenterPoint Energy | CNP | short | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $25.2B | $23.8B | −6% |
| NiSource | NI | short | Utilities - Regulated Gas | $19.7B | $18.6B | −5% |
| Danaher Corporation | DHR | short | Diagnostics & Research | $140B | $132B | −5% |
| J.M. Smucker Company (The) | SJM | short | Packaged Foods | $11.6B | $11.0B | −5% |
| eBay Inc. | EBAY | short | Internet Retail | $42.3B | $44.5B | +5% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill | CMG | middle | Restaurants | $57.2B | $60.2B | +5% |
| Tractor Supply | TSCO | middle | Specialty Retail | $31.9B | $33.6B | +5% |
| Atmos Energy | ATO | long | Utilities - Regulated Gas | $24.9B | $23.7B | −5% |
| Ross Stores | ROST | short | Apparel Retail | $47.9B | $50.3B | +5% |
| Constellation Brands | STZ | short | Beverages - Brewers | $29.8B | $31.2B | +5% |
| ServiceNow | NOW | middle | Software - Application | $189B | $180B | −5% |
| Keurig Dr Pepper | KDP | middle | Beverages - Non-Alcoholic | $45.4B | $47.5B | +5% |
| Targa Resources | TRGP | middle | Oil & Gas Midstream | $35.4B | $37.0B | +5% |
| CSX Corporation | CSX | middle | Railroads | $67.1B | $70.1B | +4% |
| Eaton Corporation | ETN | middle | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $140B | $134B | −4% |
| KLA Corporation | KLAC | short | Semiconductor Equipment & Materials | $117B | $113B | −4% |
| WEC Energy Group | WEC | middle | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $35.3B | $36.8B | +4% |
| F5, Inc. | FFIV | middle | Software - Infrastructure | $18.6B | $19.4B | +4% |
| Darden Restaurants | DRI | middle | Restaurants | $23.9B | $22.9B | −4% |
| Invitation Homes | INVH | middle | REIT - Residential | $18.5B | $17.8B | −4% |
| ExxonMobil | XOM | long | Oil & Gas Integrated | $454B | $472B | +4% |
| Air Products | APD | short | Specialty Chemicals | $64.3B | $66.8B | +4% |
| Waters Corporation | WAT | short | Diagnostics & Research | $16.5B | $17.1B | +4% |
| Norfolk Southern | NSC | short | Railroads | $63.5B | $61.2B | −4% |
| FactSet | FDS | middle | Financial Data & Stock Exchanges | $14.8B | $14.3B | −3% |
| Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | AJG | short | Insurance Brokers | $74.1B | $71.7B | −3% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc. | WSM | short | Specialty Retail | $24.7B | $25.5B | +3% |
| ConocoPhillips | COP | short | Oil & Gas E&P | $118B | $121B | +3% |
| Alliant Energy | LNT | short | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $16.9B | $16.4B | −3% |
| Weyerhaeuser | WY | long | REIT - Specialty | $18.4B | $17.9B | −3% |
| AvalonBay Communities | AVB | long | REIT - Residential | $26.8B | $27.4B | +3% |
| Insulet Corporation | PODD | short | Medical Devices | $19.5B | $20.0B | +2% |
| Copart | CPRT | short | Specialty Business Services | $45.6B | $44.4B | −2% |
| DTE Energy | DTE | middle | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $28.9B | $29.6B | +2% |
| Rockwell Automation | ROK | middle | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $37.0B | $37.9B | +2% |
| BNY Mellon | BK | short | Banks - Diversified | $72.1B | $73.7B | +2% |
| Equity Residential | EQR | middle | REIT - Residential | $24.8B | $24.4B | −2% |
| IDEX Corporation | IEX | middle | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $12.0B | $12.2B | +2% |
| Cisco | CSCO | short | Communication Equipment | $274B | $270B | −1% |
| Altria | MO | long | Tobacco | $106B | $105B | −1% |
| McCormick & Company | MKC | short | Packaged Foods | $18.6B | $18.4B | −1% |
| Emerson Electric | EMR | middle | Specialty Industrial Machinery | $77.3B | $78.3B | +1% |
| Goldman Sachs | GS | short | Capital Markets | $219B | $217B | −1% |
| Evergy | EVRG | short | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $16.9B | $17.0B | +1% |
| Eversource Energy | ES | short | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $24.3B | $24.1B | −1% |
| Automatic Data Processing | ADP | middle | Software - Application | $126B | $125B | −1% |
| Hershey Company (The) | HSY | short | Confectioners | $38.2B | $38.0B | −1% |
| PPL Corporation | PPL | short | Utilities - Regulated Electric | $26.7B | $26.9B | +1% |
| Mettler Toledo | MTD | short | Diagnostics & Research | $25.2B | $25.0B | −1% |
| Colgate-Palmolive | CL | short | Household & Personal Products | $68.4B | $68.7B | +1% |
| GoDaddy | GDDY | middle | Software - Infrastructure | $22.1B | $22.1B | +0% |
| Zebra Technologies | ZBRA | middle | Communication Equipment | $15.7B | $15.6B | −0% |
| Trane Technologies | TT | short | Building Products & Equipment | $95.0B | $95.2B | +0% |
Example: The Forecasts Behind One Valuation
Every valuation in the table above is built from fundamental forecasts like these, shown here for one company, Nvidia (NVDA), as a worked example: revenue, earnings, net margin, and shareholder payout through 2035, forecast on August 5, 2025. The amber line is our median forecast; the shaded fan is the P10–P90 range.
Revenue forecastnow $149B
2030 forecast $250B – $463B – $800B (P10 – P50 – P90)
Earnings forecastnow $76.8B
2030 forecast $62.5B – $169B – $384B (P10 – P50 – P90)
Net margin forecastnow 51.7%
2030 forecast 25.0% – 36.5% – 48.0% (P10 – P50 – P90)
Shareholder payout forecastnow 33.9%
2030 forecast 10.0% – 42.5% – 65.0% (P10 – P50 – P90)
historicalFS forecast (median)P10–P90 range
Prediction Market Forecasts vs. the Market
Every position, open and resolved, plotted by how the market priced YES at entry vs our forecast. Distance from the diagonal is the edge we traded on.
openresolved, wonresolved, lost
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Stock Valuations vs. the Market
Every company, plotted by the market's valuation vs ours (log scale). Distance from the diagonal is the upside we see — above it we're long, below it we're short.
longshortmiddle
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